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  • Board of Directors Meeting 5/25/2023
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Board of Directors Meeting   5/25/2023

Attachments
  • May 2023 Board Meeting Agenda.pdf
  • May 2023 Board Meeting Minutes.pdf
  • April 2023 Board Meeting Minutes.pdf
  • January 2023 Board Meeting Minutes.pdf
  • Executive Director’s Report.pdf
  • New River Valley Updates.pdf
  • VPRA FY24 Recommended Budget Presentation.pdf
  • VPRA FY24 Adopted Budget.pdf
  • Long Bridge Project Presentation.pdf
  • Passenger Rail Service Performance.pdf
  • Decision Brief – VPRA FY24 Budget.pdf
  • Resolution – VPRA FY24 Budget.pdf
  • Resolution – Management Reserve Concepts.pdf
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:01:15
      On the fourth floor.
    • 00:01:26
      AED and First Aid Supplies.
    • 00:01:36
      Michael, I'm going to sign you and remind you that AED, we have to go downstairs.
    • 00:01:40
      First Aid Supplies, we have to go downstairs.
    • 00:01:42
      Unless they're brought down, leave it upstairs.
    • 00:01:45
      Fire alarms and extinguishers, I scouted out this morning, there are actually three on this hallway, three fire extinguishers.
    • 00:01:52
      And the fire alarms are on both sides of the elevator bank, as are the exits to go downstairs, in case the elevators are disabled.
    • 00:01:58
      There's exit signs on each side of the elevator banks.
    • 00:02:02
      Primary and secondary 911 caller, Steve, if I can ask you to be the primary.
    • 00:02:06
      Jason, you'll be the secondary 911 caller.
    • 00:02:10
      AED, who can...
    • 00:02:13
      Don, D.J., AED, C.P.R., Matt Doan, D.J.
    • 00:02:21
      We already assigned the AED headcount responsibilities, Shannon, budget director.
    • 00:02:27
      And if anything happens, please be aware of your environment.
    • 00:02:31
      Please make sure to push chairs.
    • 00:02:34
      Worst case scenario, if there is an active shooter or someone of that nature, flee the fight is what we do.
    • 00:02:42
      So unless they miss anything,
    • 00:02:44
      Thank you.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:02:45
      All right.
    • 00:02:46
      Thanks, Mike.
    • 00:02:48
      Next item on our agenda is public comment.
    • 00:02:50
      Mary Estelle, do we have anybody's comments?
    • 00:02:55
      All right.
    • 00:02:56
      Hearing none, we'll keep moving on.
    • 00:02:58
      See, I'm going to make up the time that I was going to get us back on schedule.
    • 00:03:03
      All right, so we're already on item four, which is approval of the meeting minutes.
    • 00:03:06
      We have two sets of minutes from our last in-person meeting, which was in January, and then the virtual meeting that we held in April.
    • 00:03:13
      So first action would be to approve the January 24th, 2023 minutes.
    • 00:03:19
      Do I have a motion to approve?
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 00:03:22
      So moved.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:03:23
      Second.
    • 00:03:26
      Any comments?
    • 00:03:29
      Hearing none, Mary Sue, can you call the roll?
    • 00:03:32
      Ms. Bulova?
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 00:03:33
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:03:34
      Mr. Cardwell?
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 00:03:43
      Mr. Drake?
    • 00:03:44
      Aye.
    • 00:03:45
      Mr. Fisette?
    • 00:03:46
      Aye.
    • 00:03:47
      Mr. Hall?
    • SPEAKER_00
    • 00:03:49
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 00:03:52
      Ms. Moses-Nedd?
    • SPEAKER_00
    • 00:03:53
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 00:03:54
      Mr. Payne?
    • SPEAKER_05
    • 00:03:55
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 00:03:55
      Mr. Spore?
    • SPEAKER_05
    • 00:03:56
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 00:03:57
      Mr. Watkins?
    • 00:03:58
      Sorry, he's absent.
    • 00:04:00
      And the motion carries.
    • 00:04:01
      Thank you, Maristelle.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:04:03
      Next action would be to approve the minutes from the April 24th, 2023 meeting.
    • 00:04:09
      Do I have a motion to approve?
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 00:04:11
      So moved.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:04:13
      Motion by Mr. Payne.
    • 00:04:13
      Do I have a second?
    • 00:04:14
      Second.
    • 00:04:15
      Second by Ms. Bulova.
    • 00:04:17
      Any comments or any questions?
    • 00:04:21
      Hearing none, Mary Stell, can you call the roll, please?
    • 00:04:23
      Ms. Bulova?
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 00:04:25
      Aye.
    • 00:04:26
      Mr. Cardwell?
    • 00:04:28
      Ms. Drake?
    • 00:04:29
      Aye.
    • 00:04:30
      Mr. Fisette?
    • SPEAKER_00
    • 00:04:31
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 00:04:32
      Mr. Hall?
    • SPEAKER_00
    • 00:04:33
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 00:04:35
      Ms. Moses-Nedd.
    • 00:04:37
      Aye.
    • 00:04:38
      Mr. Payne.
    • 00:04:38
      Aye.
    • 00:04:39
      Mr. Spore.
    • SPEAKER_00
    • 00:04:40
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:04:42
      Carried.
    • 00:04:43
      All right.
    • 00:04:43
      Motion carries.
    • 00:04:44
      Thank you.
    • 00:04:47
      Director Stadler.
    • 00:04:48
      Ready for your report?
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:04:50
      I am.
    • 00:04:50
      Yes, indeed.
    • 00:04:51
      Thank you.
    • 00:04:51
      Good morning, everyone.
    • 00:04:53
      Welcome to our late May meeting.
    • 00:04:56
      First and foremost on the administrative updates.
    • 00:04:58
      This is actually pretty exciting.
    • 00:04:59
      The bipartisan infrastructure law created a food and beverage working group.
    • 00:05:04
      for Amtrak and the states to work on, both for state-supported trains, long-distance trains.
    • 00:05:09
      That work is not complete, but the report from that group has been out of record on how to make the food and beverage service on the train better.
    • 00:05:19
      We played a large role in that.
    • 00:05:21
      That report is out, and it's available on the internet.
    • 00:05:23
      In fact, we should probably send that to everybody.
    • 00:05:25
      We'll send a link.
    • 00:05:28
      But it's an interesting read.
    • 00:05:29
      It talks about the good, the bad, and the ugly about Amtrak food and beverage and some really good recommendations on how to make it better.
    • 00:05:35
      So that was released earlier this month, I believe, or maybe late, late April, but we'll send that link out.
    • 00:05:41
      Also this last week, the second week of May, we set a record for our digital advertising conversion.
    • 00:05:49
      So what happens is we pay for digital advertising and then
    • 00:05:52
      Based on what people search for, Amtrak pops up, and if they click and they buy a ticket, that turns into conversions, and that second week in May, we converted $229,000 worth of ticket sales.
    • 00:06:06
      Not to mislead,
    • 00:06:07
      We can't be clear when they bought the ticket if it was a ticket for a Virginia State supported train or a long distance train that went through Virginia.
    • 00:06:15
      We don't have that kind of clarity yet, but we do know that our advertising converted into those $230,000 or so with ticket sales.
    • 00:06:23
      So that's a big deal that continues to grow.
    • 00:06:26
      Organizational updates, pretty standard.
    • 00:06:28
      You see this every month.
    • 00:06:29
      We're currently at, well, as of May 10th, we were at 44 FTEs with two part-timers, and then hiring activity.
    • 00:06:36
      Actually, Mark Augustine is here today.
    • 00:06:39
      It's his first day.
    • 00:06:39
      He's our new internal compliance senior manager.
    • 00:06:42
      Starts today, and then we also have Claire, who's an intern, Claire Lawler, who's an intern, started today as well.
    • 00:06:48
      Here's the breakdown by gender, race, and age.
    • 00:06:52
      Pretty consistent with what you've seen in the past months.
    • 00:06:56
      I do want to point out, though, that we celebrated our two years as an organization actually having employees earlier this month, last week, last month.
    • 00:07:08
      Part of that is we're doing a big culture survey with all the employees saying, all right, how do you feel the culture is evolving?
    • 00:07:16
      What do you like about VPRA's culture?
    • 00:07:18
      What do you think we should do differently?
    • 00:07:20
      It's not a pure employee engagement survey, but it's really just a pulse check to say, hey, let's make sure we continue on the same track.
    • 00:07:27
      As you've heard me say before, the culture of the organization is critical for us to be able to complete our mission and fulfill our goals and so far so good.
    • 00:07:37
      We will continue to take those temperatures and we'll report back on that survey at a future meeting.
    • 00:07:43
      Here is the timeline for the new building.
    • 00:07:44
      You approved recently the minutes for the virtual meeting where this was discussed.
    • 00:07:49
      We did sign the lease and we are now working with the landlord to make the construction changes to build it out.
    • 00:07:55
      We will be in the building scheduled by the end of the calendar year for sure, but hopefully long before that.
    • 00:08:03
      Our goal is to carry board meetings there as well once we're moved in.
    • 00:08:08
      Just a reminder, it's right by the King Street Station.
    • 00:08:11
      Good access to transit and to passenger rail, so we're excited about that.
    • 00:08:17
      Update on our annual incentive goal progress.
    • 00:08:19
      I'm not going to read these one by one, but we are on track across the board.
    • 00:08:24
      We have a few outstanding items that we are confident will still meet the deadline.
    • 00:08:28
      I think pretty much every one of these you're going to hear more about over the course of today.
    • 00:08:36
      But for perhaps the last one, establishing the bench contracts, we have those contracts in place so we can reach out quickly to qualified vendors for work.
    • 00:08:44
      But good news story, this is all on track.
    • 00:08:47
      The other one you might not hear about is ERP.
    • 00:08:50
      We are still on track to get our enterprise resource planning system in place and implemented by the end of July.
    • 00:08:57
      We're actually a little bit ahead of schedule.
    • 00:08:59
      We got an update yesterday.
    • 00:09:00
      Training for all employees starts in June, and we're in great shape to start that in July, to have that implemented.
    • 00:09:10
      Contracting updates here, the contracts that are above $250,000 just per policy reporting to you all.
    • 00:09:18
      The lease that we talked about at the last meeting, and then a couple smaller contracts, our insurance we had to pay, and then the CSX design work support for the Franklin and Springfield bypass.
    • 00:09:31
      Budget adjustments, no budget adjustments this period.
    • 00:09:35
      And that ends the administrative portion.
    • 00:09:37
      Any questions?
    • 00:09:42
      Okay, here's the administrative budget.
    • 00:09:44
      We're pretty straightforward.
    • 00:09:45
      We're continuing to be in good shape.
    • 00:09:47
      These are the figures through the end of April.
    • 00:09:50
      And as you know, our fiscal year ends in June.
    • 00:09:52
      So as we wind down to the end of the fiscal year, we expect to be ending right on budget.
    • 00:09:57
      We've talked in previous meetings about some of the adjustments we've made, the line items.
    • 00:10:03
      You'll see we have a little more in professional services than we expected.
    • 00:10:06
      We have a little less in payroll and benefits than we expected.
    • 00:10:09
      That's because as our hiring was not as rapid as we thought it would be, we had to rely on consultants, which is pretty straightforward.
    • 00:10:15
      But all in all, we're in good shape there.
    • 00:10:18
      Operations budget.
    • 00:10:19
      This is the budget for
    • 00:10:21
      The actual running of the trains and the revenues and expenses associated with those.
    • 00:10:26
      We continue to have a cost recovery of just around 63%.
    • 00:10:30
      Without the federal credits, it's at 60%.
    • 00:10:32
      Nothing unexpected here.
    • 00:10:35
      Revenue has been good, expenses have been right in line.
    • 00:10:38
      We talked a few meetings ago about an unexpected
    • 00:10:42
      Negative revenue impact because of the way Amtrak changed their ticketing.
    • 00:10:46
      We've worked with them, we've resolved that.
    • 00:10:48
      Things have smoothed out over the last few months, so we're in good shape.
    • 00:10:52
      I will point out that our agreement with Amtrak should end, it should align with our fiscal year, so it should end at the end of June.
    • 00:11:01
      We don't have, there are a couple issues outstanding.
    • 00:11:04
      Number one, we're still working with Amtrak on
    • 00:11:07
      getting the ticket revenue for Virginia to come to Virginia first so we can use that potentially for bonding in the future.
    • 00:11:13
      That has not yet been worked out.
    • 00:11:16
      We also don't have their forecast yet for 24.
    • 00:11:18
      So instead of signing a new agreement, they've agreed with Amtrak to sign a three-month extension amendment to the current agreement that would take us from July 1st
    • 00:11:31
      through the end of September and then our new agreement to start October 1st at a $6 million agreement.
    • 00:11:37
      We'll be signing with them sometime between now and the end of June before our agreement expires.
    • SPEAKER_08
    • 00:11:43
      So any questions on that?
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:11:47
      Here's a charge on cost recovery.
    • 00:11:48
      Again, we're way above budget and we'll continue to watch that closely.
    • 00:11:54
      Ridership.
    • 00:11:54
      This is an exciting slide.
    • 00:11:55
      We just got these numbers in.
    • 00:11:58
      Late Tuesday there was a little bit of a data issue with one of the trains but April of 2023 was once again a record April.
    • 00:12:07
      We've stopped, we used to report 2023 ridership to 2019 ridership to show the difference between what we experienced today and what we experienced pre-pandemic because we really started to see in January, February and March of last year
    • 00:12:24
      the return of travelers.
    • 00:12:26
      We stopped that and now we're just showing year over year and you see it's still a pretty significant increase year over year.
    • 00:12:32
      The telling month very candidly is going to be in July because July of last year is when we added the two new services and then restored the Newport News Service.
    • 00:12:43
      Then you'll be comparing the same number of frequencies to the same number of frequencies but
    • 00:12:48
      Every month over the last six or seven months has been the highest that month ridership in history.
    • 00:12:54
      As long as we continue to run the trains on time with Amtrak's help, we see that trend continuing.
    • 00:13:00
      The highways aren't getting any less congested, so we feel like we're in a real good place on ridership.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 00:13:06
      That's great.
    • 00:13:07
      That's really good news.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:13:10
      Knock on wood.
    • 00:13:12
      In fact, tomorrow morning, bright and early, we've got a press event at Staples Mill where we're kicking off the quote unquote summer travel.
    • 00:13:18
      Oh yeah, that was dropped on us.
    • 00:13:21
      Mike and I will be there at 5 o'clock tomorrow morning too.
    • 00:13:23
      Wish people well on their travels.
    • 00:13:27
      Here's the breakout by route.
    • 00:13:29
      The one thing that jumps out here is in the bottom right, the Richmond ridership.
    • 00:13:33
      The questions we ask are, geez-wise, the Richmond ridership is so much less of an increase than others.
    • 00:13:38
      It's important to note that
    • 00:13:40
      That's the train that ends in Richmond.
    • 00:13:42
      And when we added the extra Norfolk service, it gave folks other times that they could get from north to Richmond or from Richmond to north.
    • 00:13:49
      So some of that is cannibalization, people going from that train to another train.
    • 00:13:56
      And here's route by route.
    • 00:13:57
      I'm not going to go into this in detail, but I'm happy to answer any questions.
    • 00:14:02
      One of the challenges across the board is the on-time performance.
    • 00:14:04
      It's right in that high 70, low 80s, which is adequate.
    • 00:14:09
      It's not bad, but we're striving to make it better.
    • 00:14:12
      Jeremy Latimer is going to talk later today in the service performance part of the meeting about what we're doing to improve that.
    • 00:14:21
      Not thrilled with 80%, but again, it's adequate.
    • 00:14:24
      It's got to be better than that.
    • 00:14:26
      Newport News, similar situation.
    • 00:14:28
      Revenue's good.
    • 00:14:29
      Ridership's good.
    • 00:14:31
      We continue to head in the direction.
    • 00:14:33
      Three daily round trips to Norfolk.
    • 00:14:35
      Pretty much standard data that you see every month.
    • 00:14:38
      Nothing but good news.
    • 00:14:40
      Unless folks have questions, we'll move forward.
    • 00:14:43
      Here's the one Washington to Richmond round trip that we talked about.
    • 00:14:46
      And that ends the administrative slash operations portion.
    • 00:14:50
      Any questions for me?
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 00:14:54
      Can you define on time again for all of us because I know it doesn't mean
    • 00:14:58
      what it sounds like.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:14:59
      Well, so interestingly, there are three different on-time performances that we track and get.
    • 00:15:04
      One on-time performance is does the train get to its last station when it's scheduled to get to the station.
    • 00:15:10
      There's tolerance, there's a minute tolerance depending on the service.
    • 00:15:14
      There's also all stations on-time performance.
    • 00:15:17
      which tracks if I'm a train and I've got 10 station stops, if I'm late to one of them, that train is 90% on time and that is all station by station put into the calculation.
    • 00:15:29
      And we track that because any times when Amtrak negotiates schedules with the freight railroads, they put a lot of padding in that last segment.
    • 00:15:39
      If you're going north, Alexandria, you could be late.
    • 00:15:43
      The time it takes to get from Alexandria to Washington, DC, real time should be maybe it's 12 minutes, 13 minutes, but they'll put 25 minutes in the schedule just because there's padding to make sure that it clears that buffer.
    • 00:15:55
      By doing all station OTP, you don't give credit for that.
    • 00:16:00
      That only helps with one station.
    • 00:16:02
      And then the last one is customer on time performance.
    • 00:16:05
      Customer on time performance is actually a weighted average of the number of customers that get to a station on time.
    • 00:16:11
      So if you get to Richmond and you're on time, but only three people get off and you're late to Ashland and 100 people get off, it adequately tracks how many people get to the station.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 00:16:20
      So in the slides that you gave, DJ, you're showing on that last slide, I guess, where it says on time performance, all stations.
    • 00:16:31
      In these slides, you see all stations.
    • 00:16:33
      All stations.
    • 00:16:34
      So that means you're looking at the on-time performance of each station and calculating it for the whole.
    • 00:16:40
      So the on-time performance in April was 75.8%.
    • 00:16:48
      Correct.
    • 00:16:50
      For this train.
    • 00:16:50
      For that train.
    • 00:16:52
      And then the next one, you know, down to 64.
    • 00:16:54
      Right.
    • 00:16:57
      Yeah, that's the route 47.
    • 00:17:00
      64%.
    • 00:17:01
      I don't know where you're looking, but...
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:17:06
      Which slide are you on?
    • 00:17:07
      Route 47.
    • 00:17:08
      Oh, Route 47, okay.
    • 00:17:09
      Right, so Route 47, you see the big decline there.
    • 00:17:13
      So 64% of the stations, if you added up all the trips, trips a day.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 00:17:18
      And it means that the train showed up within, not at the scheduled time, but within 15 or 20 minutes late.
    • 00:17:25
      15 minutes, I believe, is the dollars on the state's border transfer.
    • 00:17:29
      Yeah, 15.
    • 00:17:30
      So that's why I say on time isn't necessarily on time.
    • 00:17:33
      Either it's giving already a cushion of 15 minutes.
    • 00:17:39
      So, I mean, I
    • 00:17:40
      You know, we harp on this all the time and I get the freight, you know, that you're not in control of it all, which hopefully when we get more tracks and those numbers get to be really reliable, like in the 90s, you know, because 60%, meaning it's only 15 minutes late, it's just, it's just not very good.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:18:00
      It's still 15 minutes late.
    • 00:18:02
      No, you're absolutely correct.
    • 00:18:03
      And I would point out that
    • 00:18:05
      The big, getting the control, once all these projects are done and we actually take over the dispatching, have oversight of the dispatching, that's what makes all the difference.
    • 00:18:13
      If you look at the railroad from Washington north, where Amtrak owns it, controls it, dispatches it, the average on-time performance is much higher.
    • 00:18:21
      Yeah, and that's what we probably will experience at that point, but yeah, thank you.
    • 00:18:30
      Any other questions or comments on the ridership?
    • 00:18:34
      Okay, I'm going to turn it to Mike on capital project updates.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:18:37
      Thank you, DJ.
    • 00:18:39
      It's okay, I'll sit here and let you go up to the...
    • 00:18:43
      Thank you, sir.
    • 00:18:46
      On capital project expenditures, we'll note that our year-to-date actuals on the projects are under the prorated budget.
    • 00:18:53
      Some of that shows that it confirmedly estimated how much we'd be spending
    • 00:18:59
      And some good news, we are getting some numbers back from CSX and their contractors.
    • 00:19:02
      This isn't just our span.
    • 00:19:04
      It's what CSX is spending on some of these projects and their contractors are spending.
    • 00:19:08
      And some of their numbers are coming back a lot lower than they expected, which is good news.
    • 00:19:13
      They estimated a certain number amount for their program managers and 30% designers on, say, Alexandria-Fortrack.
    • 00:19:21
      And they're actually moving their project along fine.
    • 00:19:23
      We'll get to that in a minute.
    • 00:19:26
      They thought they would.
    • 00:19:27
      So in some ways, that's good news.
    • 00:19:29
      In other ways, this also does show that some projects are, we've estimated them to be a little further along than they were when we put this bunch together over a year ago now.
    • 00:19:39
      We are conservative in those estimates, but we'll get to that.
    • 00:19:42
      Once projects get to 30% design and we bring on owners reps like we did for Long Bridge, the project of PMSS, then the amount of spend has definitely been going up the last
    • 00:19:56
      last month or two as those bills start to come in.
    • 00:19:59
      Now, we don't want the bills to come in too high either, but we do want them to show that they're doing the work and moving the projects forward.
    • 00:20:09
      Next slide.
    • 00:20:15
      So, Long Bridge.
    • 00:20:16
      We're going to have a presentation later today on Long Bridge, Shirley and Cleo and I, so I'm not going to spend much time on this.
    • 00:20:22
      As you can see, moving this project forward, we did have five teams submit statements of qualifications for the North Package, which is part of, if you recall, we split up the Long Bridge into two packages, the North Package, which is a bridge and tracks in DC, and the South Package, which is the main span over the Potomac.
    • 00:20:39
      And for the north package, which is going first, because it is more complex, we need a little more time on that.
    • 00:20:44
      We did have five teams submit statements of qualifications, meaning they want to go into the next round, which is the RFP stage.
    • 00:20:50
      And again, Charlene and I, we can't say much about the five, because we're obviously we're in procurement, but we're going to talk more about what all that means and design build, progressive design build, the difference between the two and what delivery method we're using for the north package versus south package.
    • 00:21:07
      And again, as you can see, the south package was going out later in June.
    • 00:21:13
      Following along here, Alexandria-Fortrex project.
    • 00:21:17
      This project is furthest along.
    • 00:21:18
      We're at 60% design.
    • 00:21:20
      And we'll note today is also budget day, that you'll see that the difference between 30% design and 60% design for cost on Alexandria-Fortrex is very minimal.
    • 00:21:30
      It's the theme you might hear a few times today.
    • 00:21:33
      We feel a lot more comfortable about projects when they get to 30% design.
    • 00:21:36
      It's not a coincidence that Alexandria-Fortrack, 30% design, had a cost estimate of $210 million.
    • 00:21:43
      In fact, the number is hardly changing at all for the budget you'll see today.
    • 00:21:47
      As we're getting to 60% of the design, that has confirmed the version of the design cost estimate is good.
    • 00:21:52
      And again, 30% design is that magic number.
    • 00:21:55
      That's also a number industry standard
    • 00:21:56
      You get comfortable with the risk, the cost, the schedule, and that's when you put out procurements such as a design bill or progressive design bill.
    • 00:22:03
      So not a coincidence, again, that the budget for Alexandria-Fort track is holding pretty steady at 60% compared to 30%.
    • 00:22:12
      And that is a CSX-led project.
    • 00:22:15
      Frank Coney and Lorcan, third track.
    • 00:22:17
      Also a CSX-led project.
    • 00:22:21
      Again, we're in 30% design.
    • 00:22:23
      30% design is
    • 00:22:26
      A lot of feedback, back and forth, a lot of review amongst teams.
    • 00:22:30
      And we did direct and proceed with advancing the 60% design.
    • 00:22:33
      So that's a good milestone we hit with the Franklin-Lorton 6-mile third track project.
    • 00:22:41
      If you all have any questions, while I'm speaking, don't hesitate to jump in.
    • 00:22:45
      The bypass, right, going to Springfield Bypass is a project that we are leading, so we are the ones who are leading procurement on that.
    • 00:22:52
      As you can see here, we do plan to go out with a procurement later this summer, RFP advertisement date in August.
    • 00:22:58
      That is a CMGC procurement, a construction management procurement, that we will bring to you as a board, because this could be above a certain dollar amount, that we will bring to you as a board once the RFPs come in and we make a decision on the contractor, on the CMGC contractor.
    • 00:23:19
      and we'll note that that cost estimate actually went down.
    • 00:23:22
      We'll change the budget numbers and needs after you approve the budget today.
    • 00:23:25
      So that cost estimate will actually go down in our budget from 435 to 405.
    • 00:23:31
      Other projects, we talked to you about King and Commonwealth Bridges, which are right next to the Alexandria Station and in the midst of the Alexandria-Fortress project.
    • 00:23:40
      We have moved along 30% design plans came in earlier this spring and we're moving along that really well.
    • 00:23:45
      60% design plans will be in
    • 00:23:47
      in June 2023.
    • 00:23:48
      I will note that there's been continual bridge strikes.
    • 00:23:52
      We talked about how the clearance is both width and height.
    • 00:23:57
      It's not up to VDOT standards.
    • 00:23:59
      And there was another bridge strike right during rush hour that had trains backed up by the Long Bridge.
    • 00:24:03
      We've heard from many people about that.
    • 00:24:05
      So, again, another reason why this is an important project.
    • 00:24:08
      Every time there's a bridge strike, someone's got to...
    • 00:24:10
      It's a bridge strike.
    • 00:24:11
      So, if you're driving a dump truck and you come along, you hit the bridge.
    • 00:24:17
      It's not like a protest.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:24:18
      I mean... Something hits the bridge that's not supposed to hit the bridge.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 00:24:25
      Okay, I'm glad I asked.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:24:27
      This is an interesting...
    • 00:24:29
      For years I've been in the railroad business and I always thought that a bridge strike was when, you know, if there's a truck that's too tall, it has to bridge the railroad going over, and then you've got to send an inspector out to make sure that everything's okay, that it's still safe to run the trains.
    • 00:24:42
      I only found out recently, shame on me, that if just a car goes into the side of the bridge, they still want to check the integrity.
    • 00:24:50
      It's not just a height issue, it's anything in the structure.
    • 00:24:52
      So anytime a car or anything runs into either side of that bridge, you've got to stop traffic and run out and check.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:24:58
      And even if a rail, a maintenance expert from CSX comes out and look at it, it could be a couple hours by the time the person gets out.
    • 00:25:03
      It could be a three minute, this is great, or it could be, you know, we actually need some work.
    • 00:25:07
      And that really comes up rush hour traffic.
    • 00:25:10
      As you can imagine, like I said, trains were queued up to, on Long Bridge.
    • 00:25:14
      That's Amtrak and very often during rush hour.
    • 00:25:17
      And that, once you're out of slot, then
    • 00:25:20
      If you're in a train that wasn't even caught three hours later, in that queue, you're going to be impacted later.
    • 00:25:26
      Your train's going to be impacted later because you have to clear the tracks before trains leave you going south at Union Station, or vice versa, going north.
    • 00:25:34
      Other projects I want to mention, the siding projects, we don't talk a lot about those, but those are very important projects.
    • 00:25:40
      Potomac Creek is in the Stafford County area, right near the Leland Station.
    • 00:25:46
      That's a project we are 36% done.
    • 00:25:49
      Design plans are coming in the summer.
    • 00:25:51
      These are important projects that would be the start of eventual third track all the way to Spotsylvania.
    • 00:25:55
      So these are important projects.
    • 00:25:56
      We don't talk about them enough, but they're moving forward.
    • 00:25:59
      New River Valley, I'm going to have a presentation on that later today, the New River Valley.
    • 00:26:04
      We have begun geotechnical work and other work that is part of 30% design.
    • 00:26:09
      We'll talk about that again later today.
    • 00:26:12
      Capital Grants.
    • 00:26:15
      There's a couple of important things to notice here.
    • 00:26:18
      Crystal City platform, that is the VRE Crystal City platform, not to be confused with what has been recently announced as also an Amtrak is going to be putting a platform in the south end of the VRE platform.
    • 00:26:30
      The Amtrak will be tracking
    • 00:26:31
      That'll be a high level once Long Bridge is done in 2030.
    • 00:26:35
      So this is the VRE Crystal City platform that's also being coordinated with not only the Amtrak platform, but something we call CC to DCA, which is Crystal City to DC Airport, a pedestrian bridge that's going to link up Crystal City National Landing Area to Washington National Airport, which is really exciting.
    • 00:26:50
      bringing all these together.
    • 00:26:51
      I can tell you it's quite a challenge for the engineering teams to coordinate the Alexandria-Fortrack project, the Chrisley Station project, the CCD-DCA, Pedbridge project, and just sitting in a meeting with our brilliant engineers is really something to behold and see the construction staging that goes on for projects such as that.
    • 00:27:08
      The teamwork, the people in the room, Amtrak, CSX, FRA, ourselves, it's really awesome to watch.
    • 00:27:17
      Other projects here are happy to answer any questions, but I'm going to keep moving on.
    • 00:27:26
      Grants update.
    • 00:27:27
      A couple of things I want to mention here.
    • 00:27:28
      These are projects that we are giving grants to other entities, such as Nokesville to Calverton, which is part of the agreements with Norfolk Southern.
    • 00:27:38
      Norfolk Southern will be complete with that in late 2025.
    • 00:27:41
      Similarly, in a rural northwest yard, which is necessary for us to get to New River Valley.
    • 00:27:46
      Our estimated completion date for that is 2026.
    • 00:27:48
      They will be clearing the Willa pathway through the Roanoke Yard, which if you haven't been to, it's massive.
    • 00:27:56
      For our trains to get through and not get stuck in that yard is very important.
    • 00:27:58
      If we have an agreement, we want trains to be on time and to get through the Roanoke Yard.
    • 00:28:03
      Arkanella, Powell's Creek, Third Track, that and the Quantico Station are really in tandem with VRE and they're moving along as a VRE board last week talking about that.
    • 00:28:11
      And similar to Newport News, so both the Quantico Station and Newport News Station should have some ribbon cuttings later this year, early next year on both of those projects.
    • 00:28:21
      So with that, hand over to Steve.
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 00:28:24
      Thank you, Mike.
    • 00:28:26
      So this first slide here is actually, instead of revenue, it's actually about expenditures and it's comparison to the budget from last year.
    • 00:28:34
      And three items I'm going to point out here are operations.
    • 00:28:39
      The actual expenditures are on track for the year.
    • 00:28:43
      DJ mentioned earlier, we had to do a little bit of work with Amtrak.
    • 00:28:47
      There was a change in the Northeast corridor, ticket pricing and the fares, and then that resulted in some
    • 00:28:54
      deviation off of expenditure, but very quickly we got that back in line.
    • 00:28:58
      So the positive is the revenues aren't shown net here.
    • 00:29:02
      The revenues are $13 million higher than the estimate.
    • 00:29:06
      So it's that ridership and along with the ridership, more revenue coming in.
    • 00:29:11
      Second item I'll point out is, and Mike briefly talked about this, the capital project expenditures
    • 00:29:18
      If you look at that second line, it is trailing behind, but I think you'll hear a common theme here.
    • 00:29:24
      We're resetting a lot of our projects, getting to 30% design.
    • 00:29:28
      And if you go back to the last couple of months, there actually is an uptick in the expenditure as some of these projects are now moving past that 30% design level.
    • 00:29:40
      The third item I'm going to mention is the Capital Operating Grants, significant variance there.
    • 00:29:44
      This essentially is calls with VRE
    • 00:29:49
      The grants that we have with VRE, and they are working through all of these various grants to make them coordinate with the work we're doing in the I-95 corridor.
    • 00:29:58
      Essentially, before Transforming Rail in Virginia was born, VRE had a significant capital improvement plan.
    • 00:30:06
      When TRB actually became a reality, VRE had to go back and now they're in the process of coordinating their efforts to work with ours.
    • 00:30:18
      Next slide basically shows our dedicated source of funding and the story here is it's on track to meet the estimate of $183 million.
    • 00:30:28
      Next slide shows a couple of positive things.
    • 00:30:34
      I'll point out, we do have almost $600 million of funding that we have been able to collect.
    • 00:30:43
      Interest rates have gone up, so we're actually earning a significant return on that balance.
    • 00:30:50
      The one negative before I leave this page is we do have debt financing in our capital plan, which interest rates going up, and you'll hear a little bit more later, is a negative in that respect.
    • 00:31:04
      Moving along, we're going to touch basically on the three principles of our investment policies.
    • 00:31:12
      Basically, our total portfolio, we've been a very short stance.
    • 00:31:16
      I don't know if you recall, but it could go up to a two-year weighted average.
    • 00:31:20
      That's what the policy you adopted allows.
    • 00:31:24
      Because rates have been rising so rapidly, we've been trying to keep our total weighted average in a very short window.
    • 00:31:32
      Currently, it's around six months.
    • 00:31:37
      Some information we're hearing, we're talking to different people, as rates may be leveling off, the increases may be decreasing, and as a result, I think we're gonna, in the next few months, be looking to maybe move that from six months to a window that's further out to take advantage of higher rates and lock them in for a longer time frame.
    • 00:32:02
      The next slide, essentially, this is,
    • 00:32:04
      Preservation of Principle, the number one guiding priority of our policy, and it shows, and if you've been following this slide for the past few months, you've seen with the all spring investment, it was a loss before.
    • 00:32:21
      LGIP extended maturity shows a loss, and if you go back, you'll see that loss is getting smaller and smaller.
    • 00:32:28
      As the rate increases start to slow down, these other investments,
    • 00:32:33
      are catching up and they have a longer time frame.
    • 00:32:37
      And the last thing I'll say too is the LGIPM, it's a small investment, it's about $30 million and it's really sort of a hedge.
    • 00:32:45
      It actually has a longer maturity window than LGIPM and it's sort of a hedge if rates did suddenly decline.
    • 00:32:56
      Fee point before I walk away here.
    • 00:32:59
      We have the ability and intent to hold all of these investments to maturity.
    • 00:33:04
      So there shall not be a loss.
    • 00:33:08
      I think as rates level off, both of these will end up showing gains.
    • 00:33:15
      Return, so a little bit of discussion here.
    • 00:33:18
      Our LGIP is doing great.
    • 00:33:23
      I think the last look was 5.3%.
    • 00:33:26
      That being said,
    • 00:33:28
      The Allspring portfolio hasn't quite done what we internally think maybe it should have done.
    • 00:33:35
      And as I just said, we're going to look at maybe shifting our approach to look to a little bit longer term window.
    • 00:33:45
      So over the next few months, we're going to spend some time figuring out one, shifting to that longer timeframe, but then two, working with Allspring
    • 00:33:58
      and examining their performance for the past year to decide is there a potential that maybe we need to look at a different partner.
    • 00:34:07
      I'll just say it that way.
    • 00:34:11
      The last thing I'll say today is on our federal funding status, we do have, we did put in mid-April or late April, forget the exact date.
    • 00:34:22
      for a $729 million Fed State partnership grant with the Federal Railroad Administration.
    • 00:34:29
      We feel real good about that.
    • 00:34:30
      We anticipate to hear something November, December timeline.
    • 00:34:36
      I will say on the $100 million Christie grant, we were thinking Mike would have heard something by now, and it's been extended a little bit.
    • 00:34:47
      Maybe July.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:34:48
      And then, so this time last year, we started hearing awards, and their official press conference was June 2nd, but we knew a few days before that, so Steve's right, usually this time of year.
    • 00:34:58
      FRA has a lot, have a lot, FRA staff have a lot more applications to go through, instead of just, the pre-IIJ, there wasn't much rail money.
    • 00:35:08
      Now there's a lot more rail programs, so they're trying to ramp up, and so their CRISI, as expected, their CRISI awards are expected in late summer, early fall.
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 00:35:18
      The last thing I will say on this slide, we continue to progress the CIG grant working with Virginia Railway Express.
    • 00:35:26
      We have some big deadlines coming up in August and that is, I think the last number was actually slightly over a billion dollar request that we're putting in there, but it's a very long process to get there.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:35:41
      I will note that you probably know this, we don't just put in the grant and just sit and pray and hope.
    • 00:35:46
      DJ and I went to see the Deputy Secretary Polly Schautenberg a few weeks ago.
    • 00:35:52
      We also had a meeting with Amtrak to talk about our federal grant opportunities.
    • 00:35:58
      So, and our Jerica and Claire from our government community relations folks, they've been working Capitol Hill and talking to folks as well.
    • 00:36:05
      We heard that there's a good meeting with our senators, with the DOT secretary about Long Bridge and our rail projects specifically about that.
    • 00:36:13
      So we have a great delegation.
    • 00:36:15
      We don't say enough.
    • 00:36:16
      incredible congressional delegation that really wants us to get our fair share.
    • 00:36:21
      Even though Virginia does a great job of local match, that doesn't mean we shouldn't get our fair share of federal funding.
    • 00:36:27
      And we were told that our senators made that point very strongly to the secretary that we have a lot of local match.
    • 00:36:34
      Just because we don't maybe need the billions of billions on the state's half doesn't mean we shouldn't get billions of billions because we can do more.
    • 00:36:42
      Beyond Phase 1 and 2, we can do more in Phase 3 and 4 to get that dedicated third track to Spotsylvania for instance, so every dollar matters.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:36:49
      Just adding to what Mike said, we also work very hard to reach out to
    • 00:36:53
      Unity's and special interest groups to write letters of support for our grant applications which are also very helpful.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:37:00
      I should say our Chair DeBruhl that does a great job as well when she's talking to folks will get a quick note, hey what's that the exact dollar amount for that grant opportunity so she can put in a plug too.
    • 00:37:10
      It's been a great team effort.
    • 00:37:12
      We talk about grants as much as we talk about anything else because we know that's going to help us continue moving forward.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 00:37:19
      And all of these, is VPRA the sole applicant or are some of them partnering with another entity?
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:37:29
      It's a good question.
    • 00:37:31
      For the ones listed here, we are the sole entity.
    • 00:37:36
      However, on the CIG program, one of the aspects is actually some VRE trains.
    • 00:37:42
      So we're going to be the lead applicant, but if you're increasing capacity and you need more trains to fill the seats for that capacity, we're working with VRE for instance, but we are the lead applicant.
    • 00:37:55
      There are a couple grants where with North Carolina DOT for the Richmond to Raleigh program where they're the lead and we're co-applicant.
    • 00:38:03
      Also with Amtrak on the Crystal City platform, we're both co-applicants.
    • 00:38:08
      Those aren't listed here, we listed the highlights
    • 00:38:12
      of the big, most important ones.
    • 00:38:15
      But there are some, to your question, Director Fisette, that we are co-applicants.
    • 00:38:20
      These, we are the leads.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:38:21
      And so I'll just add, while we might be the applicant, I think part of our message has been that
    • 00:38:27
      In particular for Long Bridge and the size of the ass for Long Bridge, Long Bridge benefits far more than the Commonwealth of Virginia, so we've been working with North Carolina, with Maryland, both the Secretary and I have been carrying that message forward that this isn't a Virginia project, this is an entire East Coast Atlantic, Southeast, however you want to categorize it.
    • 00:38:46
      in terms of benefits.
    • 00:38:48
      And so we've seen support from the congressional delegations in North Carolina and Maryland advocating on behalf of what's a VPRA application, but it really is seen as a much broader project than just VPRA.
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 00:39:01
      And the last thing I was going to say with CIG, it's Federal Transit Administration, and so it is
    • 00:39:12
      A corner pin of that is working with VRE because it's their capacity that we have to expand.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:39:18
      Without VRE, VPRA is not eligible for that grant.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:39:24
      That completes the Executive Director's Report.
    • 00:39:26
      Any of us would be happy to answer any questions that you may have.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:39:33
      Any other questions or discussion?
    • 00:39:39
      Keep going.
    • 00:39:41
      Next slide on the agenda is an update on Western Rail Initiative in the New River Valley.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:39:47
      Thank you.
    • 00:39:47
      I'm going to start and then I'll turn it over to Mike.
    • 00:39:49
      But I just wanted to give folks, we want to give an update on our New River Valley project.
    • 00:39:55
      As you likely recall, we signed an agreement with Norfolk Southern that allowed us to have a second round trip train to Roanoke with the plan to extend that round trip and then the existing round trip to the New River Valley.
    • 00:40:09
      So that would be two round trips to New River Valley.
    • 00:40:11
      We have worked very hard and you'll see through the course of today's meeting, there's a big focus on 30% design and the importance of 30% design.
    • 00:40:23
      And what you'll hear today is that New River Valley is not at 30% design.
    • 00:40:28
      We need to get it there.
    • 00:40:29
      We have found over the course of the last couple years, until you get a project to that point,
    • 00:40:35
      The estimates and the schedule are just incredibly volatile.
    • 00:40:39
      So what you're going to hear today is just what we found so far on the new River Valley work that we've done, the challenges that we've seen on getting to the mall site, which was the recommended site as soon as possible, and what our path forward is going to be.
    • 00:40:58
      An overwhelming favorite was a site near the mall, one of those two, either north of the mall, south of the mall.
    • 00:41:03
      To get there, you've got to cut through a lot of rock.
    • 00:41:08
      I'm just going to go into a lot more detail, but we didn't realize that it was 300,000 cubic yards of rock and it was 35,000 dump trucks worth of rock.
    • 00:41:18
      So as we take this project from 0% design to 30, we're learning a lot more and we've got to react to what we learn and we'll be bringing decisions to this board as we get
    • 00:41:30
      Really more detailed information on budget and schedule.
    • 00:41:33
      So that's just kind of a preamble on what you're going to see in the next half of the slides or so.
    • 00:41:38
      And then I'll turn it over to Mike and we'll probably tag team because I've run before.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:41:43
      So DJ talked about this slide, move to the next slide as a reminder of the improvements necessary to get to Newer Valley.
    • 00:41:49
      I talked earlier about the Roanoke Yard improvements that need to be made by Norfolk Southern so we don't get stuck in the yards, we get through there smoothly.
    • 00:41:55
      There'll be some additional minor tractor improvements along the 28 miles.
    • 00:41:59
      and there are some other improvements that need to be made, especially the Merrimack Tunnel.
    • 00:42:03
      We're going to get into that.
    • 00:42:04
      That's a mile long tunnel, underneath 460.
    • 00:42:10
      Speaking of the Roanoke Yard, there's a picture of it.
    • 00:42:12
      It is a massive yard.
    • 00:42:14
      Norfolk Southern used to have a lot more operations there than they do now, but they still have a decent amount of operations there.
    • 00:42:19
      So again, we don't want to get stuck through that yard.
    • 00:42:22
      Norfolk Southern is leading that with grants that were part of our agreement with Norfolk Southern.
    • 00:42:28
      The Virginia line, 28 miles, we also have to put PTC, Positive Trade Control, out there.
    • 00:42:33
      So that's the signalization we're talking about.
    • 00:42:36
      Again, minor track improvements.
    • 00:42:40
      The box at the bottom is very important.
    • 00:42:42
      28 miles includes 32 bridges, 86 culverts, 47 road crossings, and 2 tunnels.
    • 00:42:48
      It's a lot of infrastructure.
    • 00:42:49
      and we need to account for it.
    • 00:42:50
      Some of it's in pretty good shape, but the picture on the right, the tunnel, we're still doing due diligence on that.
    • 00:42:57
      Just yesterday, we received some initial ring samples from the geotech work that's part of the 30% design.
    • 00:43:03
      STB is our contractor, bottom board is part of our bench contract, actually under support of DRPT, and they're doing geotech work, almost as we speak, this week they're doing geotech work or trying to decipher what that means, but that could, the cost estimates we have
    • 00:43:19
      Right now in our budget, I will feel a lot more comfortable about them when geotech is done when we get to 30% design, which we plan to do by the end of the year.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:43:28
      Before Mike, you leave the slide, the right portion of this is the most important.
    • 00:43:31
      The safety improvements that need to be made are critical.
    • 00:43:35
      We are not going to rush this service extension until we have the confidence that it can be done safely.
    • 00:43:43
      We're not going to do it.
    • 00:43:45
      We've got a 100-year-old tunnel.
    • 00:43:47
      It hasn't had passenger trains.
    • 00:43:48
      Sure, trains run through it, but you get coal stuck in a tunnel, it's very different than getting 300 people stuck in a tunnel, and we're just not going to take risks.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:43:55
      I also want to show how narrow it is.
    • 00:43:57
      That's just a passenger car on a highway rail.
    • 00:44:01
      Amtrak trains much wider, so we're worried about egress, meaning being able to get out of a train if something were to happen.
    • 00:44:07
      So it's very important to us.
    • 00:44:08
      I'm not going to be able to sleep all night knowing that we could put trains, passenger trains through there and if something happens, people have a hard time getting out of the train.
    • 00:44:17
      So that is something we want to be able to widen that egress and also allow people to get out through some exits and also fire suppression lighting should be very important.
    • 00:44:28
      I think we've all been, in Virginia, WMATA, every subway system has
    • 00:44:34
      Chicago, DC, New York.
    • 00:44:35
      I've had incidents of people having smoke inhalation and other issues, and that is with ability to get out of the train and walk out and have lighting.
    • 00:44:42
      So we want to be able to afford people the same here, and it's for safety.
    • 00:44:46
      We start with safety briefing.
    • 00:44:48
      Safety is the utmost of our mind, and I think we'll all feel better if the improvements are made to the tunnels.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:44:54
      You've got a mile-long tunnel of ventilation, especially when you're present running.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:45:03
      The Rock Cut, DJ talked about.
    • 00:45:06
      There'll be about a mile of connecting track, which we're gonna show you here in a second.
    • 00:45:11
      We wanna show you these pictures first.
    • 00:45:12
      The first one is, there's a very popular trail called the Huckleberry Trail, picture on the left.
    • 00:45:17
      I've been out there at two o'clock on a Wednesday.
    • 00:45:18
      It was work, it wasn't just the trail.
    • 00:45:22
      And there's a lot of people on it.
    • 00:45:24
      No matter what time, I've been out there quite a many times, there's always people on it.
    • 00:45:27
      It's a very popular trail.
    • 00:45:30
      We went,
    • 00:45:31
      Concerned about impacting it, but this is also a view from the Huckleberry Trail looking back toward the tunnel.
    • 00:45:36
      And on the right is from, standing on the Huckleberry Trail, looking toward where actually the curve to get down to the mall would actually occur.
    • 00:45:45
      It's a little flatter there, it's not as flat as the picture may show, it's actually, we're in the New River Valley, there's some mountains out there.
    • 00:45:52
      As you can see, the 100 feet of elevation change, and as DJ mentioned, over 300,000 cubic yards, the staff are saying 360,000 cubic yards of rock to be cut.
    • 00:46:01
      You see the rock cut for the Tyson Subway.
    • 00:46:03
      It's part of the silver mine where some of our staff worked on.
    • 00:46:06
      That's a significant amount of rock cut.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:46:08
      The other thing we don't know about that rock is how hard it is.
    • 00:46:10
      We don't have that yet getting into it.
    • 00:46:12
      Is it rock that you can just pull out of there with a moving piece of equipment?
    • 00:46:16
      Do you have to blast it?
    • 00:46:17
      We just, we've got to get all that information.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:46:21
      So I just want to take you, just to give you an idea of some of the decision-making of what kind of curve.
    • 00:46:25
      It's actually very detailed and you want to be able to up 2% grade.
    • 00:46:30
      That's why the bottom one is checked.
    • 00:46:32
      The curves are very tight curves.
    • 00:46:35
      Tight curves like that are also going to impact Norfolk Southern and their operation to be able to go through.
    • 00:46:40
      The longer reverse curve, if you will, the Southwest Quadrant, green is preferred.
    • 00:46:47
      Again, it was kind of that, I saw that stream in the foreground, comes out to a little flatter area over here and comes down.
    • 00:46:56
      There is a stream to be crossed though.
    • 00:46:58
      but that is a southwest curve to get down to the mall, the connecting track, if you will.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:47:05
      Mike, before you move off of that, I think the other thing that's important to mention is where that track is relative to housing and, you know, this is a very developed area and so that work's going to happen while the pictures that you had on the previous slide don't show it, just on the other side of that hill, people live there.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:47:26
      See the word over here.
    • 00:47:27
      Yeah, so when you have 30, 35,000 dump trucks out there, those are loud.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:47:32
      And they don't want us blasting rock at two o'clock in the morning.
    • 00:47:35
      I mean, I don't understand.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:47:38
      I mean, it's very sensitive work.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:47:40
      Yeah.
    • 00:47:42
      The great part about getting trains to where people are is that because that's where people are.
    • 00:47:46
      The challenge with it is you got to build it and that's where people are.
    • 00:47:49
      You're building where people are and that can cause some, understandably, some concerns for the homeowners and folks who live there.
    • 00:47:58
      So the mall station site, again, this is just a picture of the, kind of going further south than we were last time.
    • 00:48:08
      Just north of, kind of almost a hybrid site, we mentioned earlier, Mall North was here, Mall West was here.
    • 00:48:13
      Looking right over here to maybe possibly use some of the mall's unused parking.
    • 00:48:18
      Every time we've been out there, this happens a lot in malls.
    • 00:48:22
      In certain areas, they're actually quite filled up over here, but not over here, so we thought that could be a good location.
    • 00:48:27
      I will say, though, that we are working with the mall.
    • 00:48:30
      They have their door concerns and they're trying to figure out the redevelopment of the mall as well.
    • 00:48:37
      So we have been talking to them, but I don't want to make it sound like it's a slam dunk either, even though it does seem to make sense.
    • 00:48:45
      We can have maybe a win-win for us in the mall.
    • 00:48:49
      Still some items to work through with the mall.
    • 00:48:53
      and other property owners too.
    • 00:48:55
      I will say we are clearing environmentally.
    • 00:48:57
      You want to clear a wider swath than actually what you might end up doing.
    • 00:49:02
      So we are environmentally clearing, not just for our platform, but for a station site for the locals and also clearing environmentally a ped bridge over to folks over there.
    • 00:49:13
      But the locals per our state rail plan,
    • 00:49:16
      We pick up, the state picks up the cost of the platform to connect and track.
    • 00:49:19
      The locals pick up the cost of the station and the other amenities such as a pet bike bridge.
    • 00:49:24
      So if they determine they don't want to build a pet bike bridge and they don't want that, that's up to them.
    • 00:49:30
      So again, we're not going to have an unfunded mandate on the locals for a station and a pedestrian bridge.
    • 00:49:36
      So that's something we're working with them.
    • 00:49:38
      We've got to give kudos to our team, Colin Burch and Oliver Thatcher, John Carney, Faya Konsti and many others, doing a lot of great work, working really hard and spending a lot of hours.
    • 00:49:47
      as DJ and I and a lot of us do, Jerry DeBruhl as well.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:49:51
      Let me add to that, though, not only are they deserve the kudos, but they're also doing a great job of keeping transparency with the New River Valley Authority and making sure that every time we're down there, we talk to them.
    • 00:50:04
      And to get this done, we all have to be on the same page.
    • 00:50:08
      There can't be any surprises.
    • 00:50:09
      So they've done a real good job of working with Kevin Bird and the folks at the authority down there to make sure that there are no surprises.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:50:16
      And I will add, I was in Roanoke for a public meeting last week, very well attended public meeting, but there were a number of speakers that showed up and were talking about the importance of rail to the New River Valley, but they were also so complimentary of the VPRA staff and how collaborative the work of the authority has been with the region.
    • 00:50:40
      And so it's just, you know,
    • 00:50:42
      When you go to public meeting, you don't always expect that.
    • 00:50:45
      And it was, it was, you know, it rails very important to us, but you guys are great partners.
    • 00:50:50
      And so I just, you know, I get to sit there and take the good stuff for the board, but I wanted to share that publicly too.
    • 00:50:57
      It was, it was just wonderful to hear.
    • 00:50:59
      And I think that's to the credit of Mike and, and the, uh, the whole team, Mike, DJ and the whole team here at VPRX.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 00:51:07
      I'll just echo that comment here in the Royal Valley.
    • 00:51:10
      This organization is exceedingly well thought of.
    • 00:51:13
      So kudos.
    • 00:51:15
      Thank you.
    • 00:51:16
      I have a question.
    • 00:51:17
      Is there anybody on the board from that part of the state?
    • 00:51:19
      I don't even know.
    • 00:51:20
      Victor.
    • 00:51:21
      Victor.
    • 00:51:21
      Sorry.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:51:22
      So Mr. Cardwell and both more of them.
    • 00:51:24
      Mr. President.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 00:51:25
      The one who just chimed in.
    • 00:51:26
      Yes.
    • 00:51:28
      Got it.
    • 00:51:29
      Okay.
    • 00:51:30
      Cool.
    • 00:51:30
      Because I would, I really encourage, you know, our board members to, you know, when that's
    • 00:51:36
      Where you're from and where you know that area, you know a lot of stakeholders to be as engaged as you can and to help facilitate some of that communication.
    • 00:51:47
      I just reinforce when you work in the local government, this is a huge investment.
    • 00:51:54
      for that area.
    • 00:51:55
      And it will drive a lot of the planning and the development and the retail and the future because you want to build a lot of your infrastructure and your community in the context of that new investment of a huge amount of money and people.
    • 00:52:15
      So it has a lot of impact for a long time, well beyond moving the people on the rail.
    • 00:52:21
      with the future development of that part of the state.
    • 00:52:25
      So that's why you really want to include the authority.
    • 00:52:29
      I mean, that was a great thing that they created it.
    • 00:52:31
      So all the local governments, I'm assuming, are represented on it.
    • 00:52:35
      But the interest is going to go well beyond that.
    • 00:52:37
      They may be the messenger to their local governments.
    • 00:52:40
      but there are going to be a lot of interest beyond that.
    • 00:52:43
      So it's great to hear people down there aren't going to care.
    • 00:52:46
      They're going to show up at the meetings.
    • 00:52:48
      You're never going to get everybody happy, but it's really, I appreciate what you're saying because those meetings are really important for the long haul.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 00:52:56
      And that is exactly why we're doing what we're doing in a collaborative way.
    • 00:53:01
      And we're going to take the time to make sure we do it right.
    • SPEAKER_13
    • 00:53:05
      One quick question.
    • 00:53:06
      So if I'm seeing this right, building close to a mall,
    • 00:53:11
      Those property owners there right now, the value goes up.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:53:16
      What is their participation level?
    • 00:53:18
      Do we have any
    • 00:53:19
      Lock in on that.
    • 00:53:20
      They come to community meetings.
    • 00:53:21
      We have public outreach that's consistent down there, and they, to Chair DeBruhl's point, they come to the community meetings, they voice their opinion.
    • 00:53:29
      The pedestrian bridge, for example, is a big deal.
    • 00:53:32
      So if you see the mall on the bottom right, then there's the trail, and then there's the community.
    • 00:53:36
      Some folks feel very strongly, hey, it'd be great to have a bridge where I can just walk from my house over to the train station and get on the train.
    • 00:53:43
      Other folks don't feel the same way.
    • 00:53:44
      They don't like the fact that, well, people could be parking in front of my house and then walking over there.
    • 00:53:48
      So going through all of those issues, we've been really involved with the community.
    • 00:53:54
      Again, public meetings, getting feedback.
    • 00:53:56
      We did surveys out there when we were doing the feasibility study on the stations.
    • 00:54:00
      We don't want anyone surprised.
    • 00:54:01
      Mr. Fisette said it.
    • 00:54:04
      We're not going to make everyone happy, but we're working very hard not to surprise him.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:54:10
      On that note, we actually are being promised during some public meetings, if groups wanted us to meet with them, we'd be happy to meet with them.
    • 00:54:16
      We are meeting with the Villages of Pepper's Ferry, as I should say.
    • 00:54:19
      Some of our folks at our community government relations team are meeting with the Villages of Pepper's Ferry in June.
    • 00:54:25
      We had offered it.
    • 00:54:26
      They said yes, we'd love for you to come see us.
    • 00:54:28
      I was also the representative of Ken Bird funding, the Valley Station Authority.
    • 00:54:32
      The local planning organization is going to be there as well.
    • 00:54:35
      So we're happy to do that.
    • 00:54:38
      I'm thinking of possibly buying one of our planners a house.
    • 00:54:43
      Two other quick points.
    • 00:54:57
      Right-of-way acquisition is going to be very important.
    • 00:54:59
      The mall, we have to work with the mall, we have to work with some other folks that own some land here.
    • 00:55:04
      Montgomery County doesn't own some in here, but also there's some private property owners as well.
    • 00:55:08
      Michael Westward, General Counsel, Joe Jagman and our team have every confidence that we'll work through the process while they've been through this before.
    • 00:55:15
      And the segue to the next one, what you don't see in here is a layover facility.
    • 00:55:19
      meaning you need to have a train layover overnight, right, and minor service.
    • 00:55:25
      We're not talking about under a house structure, something that needs water, gas, things of that nature.
    • 00:55:33
      The toilets.
    • 00:55:35
      Yeah, cleaning up the train, so on and so forth.
    • 00:55:37
      So we have looked at many options, and these are the ones eliminated.
    • 00:55:41
      I'm going to get to the one we're preferred here in a minute.
    • 00:55:48
      People might love a train station, they might not love a train idling near their home.
    • 00:55:53
      So this is a little bit of a different impact, maybe a train station.
    • 00:55:59
      So a lot of these locations, for instance, that were down here by Pepper's Ferry, parked or redeveloping, a Holiday Inn right there, a Target.
    • 00:56:06
      At the mall, there's some cultural and historical resource impacts that we found out there through some
    • 00:56:13
      due diligence.
    • 00:56:15
      According to SNL, they told us they might be interested in redeveloping some there too.
    • 00:56:20
      Merrimack, we need the reverse curve if you remember, could come through there so that's going to be difficult.
    • 00:56:25
      So my point is we didn't do a whole process to eliminate these sites, it's not a preferred.
    • 00:56:31
      One site we're looking at is the
    • 00:56:34
      location just east of the tunnel, I'm going to flip back in a second, it's still central to the New River Valley, just want to be clear, it's just east of the tunnel, Blacksburg up there, Christianburg here, it's still central to New River Valley, just off of 460 as you can see, and we call it Cinnabar Road, because access would come off Cinnabar Road.
    • 00:56:53
      You might also hear us occasionally refer to Yellow Sulphur, which is a road that is right here at the edge of the map.
    • 00:56:58
      So we use the two kind of simultaneously because the new facility
    • 00:57:04
      which is up to 1400 feet will go down toward, close to the Yellow Sofa Road.
    • 00:57:10
      If you hear us talk about Cinnabar Road, we're talking about a layover facility.
    • 00:57:14
      Mention some of the complications.
    • 00:57:16
      Go ahead.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 00:57:18
      The layover facility, is it under a roof?
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:57:22
      Great question.
    • 00:57:23
      It's not like this, the VRE crossroads and Broad Run where you have a massive roof where you can do maintenance.
    • 00:57:33
      Amtrak does that somewhere else.
    • 00:57:36
      It is, you have a very couple small structures that have water.
    • 00:57:39
      There might be a small office for someone to fill out some paperwork, but you're not doing maintenance under a roof.
    • 00:57:45
      It's outside.
    • 00:57:46
      Gosh, there was a picture of the one in Roanoke.
    • 00:57:48
      We're actually going to be doing one in Richmond.
    • 00:57:50
      And there's different levels of labor facility, but this would be minor because we're talking about two round trip trains and depending on the time, we might only have one train laying over overnight.
    • 00:58:00
      We do have options for a future commuter rail.
    • 00:58:03
      One trip a day from Roanoke to New River Valley.
    • 00:58:07
      And so we have to keep that in mind as well.
    • 00:58:10
      But this would not be a large site.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 00:58:13
      So there's just mainly ancillary structure?
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:58:18
      It could be just a trailer.
    • 00:58:20
      There has to be something on the roof for the crew to sign in and get the orders and everything.
    • 00:58:24
      But the whole train would not, it's not contemplated that the train would be on the roof.
    • 00:58:28
      Train pulls into a siding, basically.
    • 00:58:31
      between peoples and to a side.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 00:58:32
      As you can see how long it is here.
    • 00:58:33
      So we also talked about the complications of the tunnel connector track to get into the mall.
    • 00:58:40
      So we are concerned.
    • 00:58:41
      We know people want to get to New River Valley.
    • 00:58:44
      We know they want to get there soon.
    • 00:58:46
      We know they want to get there right.
    • 00:58:48
      So we are contemplating not only this labor facility, but a possible temporary location here at Cinnabar so we can get service there sooner rather than later.
    • 00:58:57
      And
    • 00:59:00
      Some of the benefits of the site, as you can see, there's not many homes around here.
    • 00:59:04
      So, compared to some of the other sites where you saw a lot more development, there's not many property owners around here at all, not many homeowners around here at all.
    • 00:59:14
      There will be a decent amount of grading.
    • 00:59:16
      What you can't really see from the picture is the grade, 2% grade, not only for a track, but for a layout facility, because there's certain safety reasons for it.
    • 00:59:28
      So we'll have to do a decent amount of grading and also a decent amount of retaining walls, walls that'll keep the structures, the track intact.
    • 00:59:36
      But again, the benefits of this are it's still close to the mall facility and could possibly provide a temporary site if we so determined.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 00:59:45
      One other item, sorry Mike, but you went over it very quickly on the risk side, the environmental clearance.
    • 00:59:53
      We were unaware of this when we first went down there, but we found that, and I'm going to contradict myself,
    • 00:59:58
      that there are northern long-eared bats down there, which is an endangered species.
    • 01:00:06
      And I'm contradicting because literally there are thousands of them.
    • 01:00:11
      There are a lot of bats down there and they're endangered.
    • 01:00:13
      So that may inhibit our ability to do construction work during a certain time of the year when they like to mate.
    • 01:00:20
      I'm not an environmental expert, so I'll just leave it there.
    • 01:00:22
      But they're
    • 01:00:23
      That's a risk as well that could hit us on the schedule.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:00:26
      Where do they hang out?
    • 01:00:28
      Things like, places like tunnels.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:00:29
      Yeah, both sides of the tunnel.
    • 01:00:30
      On the tunnel.
    • 01:00:32
      In the woods right on the north corner of where that site is on both sides of the tunnel.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 01:00:37
      We build a schedule.
    • 01:00:38
      There will literally be a few lines, a few lines for better.
    • 01:00:43
      Also, whenever you're impacting water, you don't really see it very much.
    • 01:00:46
      It's not as much on the north side.
    • 01:00:48
      We looked at the south side.
    • 01:00:50
      These are more wetlands.
    • 01:00:51
      You can't see it.
    • 01:00:51
      When there's water, a certain level of water, you have to get an Army Corps permit.
    • 01:00:56
      An Army Corps permit from the Army Corps of Engineers.
    • 01:00:59
      So if I can go back to, if we were to go over here, this would be a permit of the highest order because what you don't see here is a slate branch, a branch of the Slate River that is quite a
    • 01:01:12
      Heavy body of water.
    • 01:01:13
      East of the tunnel, it's a stream that might even be seasonal at times.
    • 01:01:17
      It might not even have water at certain times.
    • 01:01:19
      Over here, it says water in all the time where Merrimack is.
    • 01:01:22
      That's another reason why I think we kind of ruled that option out for a layover facility there.
    • 01:01:28
      Because again, the body of water, at a certain level, you have to get an Army Corps of Engineers permit, which takes quite, it's not just a few months, it's up to 18 months, if not longer.
    • 01:01:36
      I have another question.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:01:37
      What's the security required at a layover site?
    • 01:01:42
      That's a good question.
    • 01:01:45
      I try to ask good questions.
    • 01:01:46
      I don't always.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:01:50
      I don't know that there are strict requirements.
    • 01:01:54
      I mean, obviously you want it to be secure.
    • 01:01:56
      You don't want the train in a place where folks can spray paint it overnight.
    • 01:01:59
      You need a secure place for the crew, for sure.
    • 01:02:01
      But it doesn't have to be fully fenced or anything like that.
    • 01:02:05
      Quite frequently the trains just sit out and just... Are they locked?
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:02:10
      The trains are locked, but they're not fenced in.
    • 01:02:17
      Somebody could walk up to them.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:02:18
      So there's been an issue traditionally.
    • 01:02:20
      There are plenty of labor facilities that do not have fencing or security like that.
    • 01:02:25
      There are some that do.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:02:25
      And this may be totally weird just to discard it if it is, but is there a way?
    • 01:02:33
      As a layman, trains are interesting to people, right?
    • 01:02:39
      People go to look at them to touch the fire truck and do all that stuff.
    • 01:02:44
      Is there a way to advance the concept of trains and commuting and enjoying trains by making it more accessible, putting it in a place where it actually attracts people to look at it or touch it?
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:02:57
      Anecdotally, when you have train service in a place where people can see it, it's more successful.
    • 01:03:03
      I mean, we've talked about this before.
    • 01:03:05
      In Fredericksburg, there's a train station.
    • 01:03:07
      I live in Fredericksburg.
    • 01:03:07
      There's a train station, and I talk to people at restaurants five blocks away that have no idea as a passenger they can get on a train within five blocks.
    • 01:03:14
      So that awareness is important.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:03:16
      You demystify it.
    • 01:03:17
      You make it interesting that kids want to see it.
    • 01:03:20
      I just wonder if that should factor into the location versus hiding it somewhere far away.
    • 01:03:25
      from everywhere, so I'll leave you with that.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:03:28
      That's what stations would be for, so where you have a station you can showcase your, rather than encourage people to, you know, come back
    • 01:03:40
      to an area that is not monitored.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:03:43
      And for years, pre-COVID, they had National Train Day that was a real big deal at the stations.
    • 01:03:49
      They would park the trains at those terminal stations and let folks tour the trains.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:03:53
      At all of our county fairs, we'd bring out the big trucks, you know, so kids can sit behind the steering wheel and wander around and touch it and that kind of thing.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:04:03
      I don't know, I spend a lot of time in Ashland and the trains are a very integral part of the community in Ashland.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:04:10
      So maybe a consideration.
    • SPEAKER_14
    • 01:04:13
      That's a good point of thinking.
    • 01:04:15
      I agree with the points Jay was making in terms of the importance of this whole project in terms of it's more than just cost and ridership gain.
    • 01:04:23
      It's really important in terms of building a viable community and so on.
    • 01:04:28
      But is there a point, as we get more information, I'm really concerned about that tunnel.
    • 01:04:34
      I thought there's no clearance.
    • 01:04:36
      If we have to enlarge that tunnel, we have, how many bridges did you say?
    • 01:04:41
      The cost estimate as you get to a 30% design and estimating factor goes crazy.
    • 01:04:49
      And, you know, is there a point at which we would drop this project?
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:04:53
      I don't know that we would drop.
    • 01:04:54
      I'm sorry to miss people.
    • 01:04:55
      No, go ahead.
    • 01:04:56
      No, I mean, 30% design.
    • 01:04:57
      And that's really the moral of the story is that we don't know what we don't know until we get to 30% design.
    • 01:05:03
      Once we get there, we have a full understanding of the schedule and of the cost.
    • 01:05:07
      And then at that point, we make a decision as to, okay,
    • 01:05:11
      How do we move forward?
    • 01:05:12
      And that's exactly the right one.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:05:15
      So what percent have we accomplished or have we?
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 01:05:20
      We're at five percent.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:05:21
      We're at five percent.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:05:23
      And we'll be at 30 by the end of the year.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:05:26
      And that's part of why we wanted to bring this update to the board today, because, you know, there's a date that's been communicated, you know, that was communicated as part of the original announcement of the Western Rail Initiative to the community that as we get in,
    • 01:05:40
      More into the project, we knew that there were some risks from the beginning, but you don't know what you don't know at that point.
    • 01:05:47
      And so now that we're starting to see those risks much more clearly, we want to manage expectations
    • 01:05:55
      of the community about the timing of when we can get to the New River Valley.
    • 01:05:59
      We're committed to get to the New River Valley.
    • 01:06:02
      How we get there and when we get there is going to be determined by the engineering work that the team is doing right now and that we'll continue to bring back to this board and continue to have dialogue with the region collaboratively over the next six years.
    • 01:06:20
      Six months or so as we get to 30% and come back to this body to make some decisions about how we achieve that.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:06:27
      The tunnel that we're looking at on slide four, which tunnel is this?
    • 01:06:34
      Or both tunnels?
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 01:06:36
      That's Merrimack Tunnel.
    • 01:06:37
      So this is Merrimack.
    • 01:06:39
      The other slave hill tunnel is 800 feet long.
    • 01:06:42
      It's obviously much smaller.
    • 01:06:43
      Amtrak trains are longer than 800 feet.
    • 01:06:45
      So something would happen there.
    • 01:06:48
      It's the Merrimack Tunnel that goes underneath 460.
    • 01:06:52
      It's the tunnel that you saw in the picture.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:06:55
      Can you go back to slide three, please, Mike?
    • 01:06:57
      I'm sorry.
    • 01:06:59
      If you look at the map right there, right, so on the far left, you see the proposed New River Valley Station site.
    • 01:07:05
      That's the mall site.
    • 01:07:06
      And then just going to the right of that, you see the mile-long tunnel, the Merrimack Tunnel.
    • 01:07:10
      And then the Cinnabar site is just to the east of the Merrimack Tunnel.
    • SPEAKER_05
    • 01:07:15
      You're still doing bus service, aren't you?
    • 01:07:17
      from the New River Valley into Roanoke or not?
    • 01:07:21
      Is there a bus service like there used to be Roanoke to Lynchburg?
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:07:24
      There is a transit service that provides a number of daily connections from Blacksburg to the Roanoke Valley and one of those connect.
    • 01:07:33
      But it's not an Amtrak bus.
    • 01:07:34
      It's not an Amtrak Thruway.
    • 01:07:36
      It is public transportation provided by Valley Metro that does connect to the train.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 01:07:41
      The breeze also goes from Virginia Tech to
    • 01:07:45
      It does.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:07:47
      It doesn't stop in Roanoke proper and it doesn't connect to the train.
    • 01:07:50
      But yes, we do have state supported intercity bus service out of Blacksburg and Christiansburg that goes to Washington Union Station.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:08:00
      So these two tunnels are where the bats are?
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:08:04
      Actually, I don't know that we know that there are bats in the Slate Hill Tunnel.
    • 01:08:09
      We know they're around Merrimack.
    • SPEAKER_05
    • 01:08:10
      And I'll tell you, Morgan Griffith is an expert on these bats, so you might want to have a conversation with him.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:08:16
      That's good enough.
    • 01:08:17
      It was shocked.
    • 01:08:18
      Looks like we were there first.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:08:22
      They're like squatters once they come in and take over.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 01:08:26
      It's a great delegation, Morgan, represented Morgan Griffith's band to a multiple of much good actors.
    • SPEAKER_05
    • 01:08:32
      Ask him about the bats when you got him.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 01:08:37
      The last slide, we're just talking about next steps, which is the preliminary engineering, i.e.
    • 01:08:42
      3% design we talked about.
    • 01:08:43
      To get some good cost estimates to Director Spore's point, above the center of our site, and the tunnel, and the connecting track, and the model platform site.
    • 01:08:54
      So that's going to be very important.
    • 01:08:55
      Again, to be able to identify risks and costs on schedule.
    • 01:08:59
      One thing we haven't talked about as much, although Director Fisette brought it up, is Amtrak.
    • 01:09:04
      We have to design not just the layer facility, but the stations, the platform site, to their specifications.
    • 01:09:11
      And some of the complications with that are, we've talked before the JW Lab, we did a presentation on new Amtrak trains coming.
    • 01:09:17
      We're not exactly sure when we'll get those new Siemens called Arrow trains.
    • 01:09:20
      It could be 2026, it could be 2028.
    • 01:09:22
      So we might or may have to design to accommodate both the current train sets with
    • 01:09:29
      maybe some engines that he sent to allow for push pull equipment and the new aero trains which even though themselves are push pull equipment and knowing that we have push pull equipment will reduce our footprint if you will.
    • 01:09:39
      You don't have to turn the train or turn it wide but we've already installed Amtrak and we prefer not to design since it's going to be for a short period of time a wide turning rate, turning area just for a couple years because we know that the aero, those new aero trains are coming later this decade.
    • 01:09:55
      We're not exactly sure of the date.
    • 01:09:58
      It's very important we have to work with Amtrak, don't want to forget about that point.
    • 01:10:01
      They've been out there with us a couple times actually, to look at the various sites.
    • 01:10:06
      Again, environmental impacts, can't overlook it, DJ mentioned that a few times.
    • 01:10:11
      and the St. Louis Valley Station Authority.
    • 01:10:13
      We actually had a conversation with one of the leaders and leading up to this.
    • 01:10:18
      I gotta say DJ and Director DeBruhl do a great job tag teaming and I'll reach out to that person to reach out to that person and they divvied that up earlier this week and we let some key folks know that this presentation was being given.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:10:31
      And I'll just
    • 01:10:33
      If I can just add one more thing.
    • 01:10:34
      We have a lot of folks that are paying attention to what is happening with VPRA, what's happening with the New River Valley Extension from points further southwest.
    • 01:10:44
      There's a lot of passion in Bristol around rail to and through Bristol and on into Tennessee.
    • 01:10:51
      That's work that's being done by DRPT.
    • 01:10:53
      That's part of our portfolio is long-range statewide rail planning.
    • 01:10:57
      We've got an application in with the Federal Railroad Administration for their corridor identification program.
    • 01:11:03
      So, you know, long term, what happens in the New River Valley, how we get through this tunnel, how we move on, starts with solving this problem here.
    • 01:11:13
      And so I do know we have friends in Bristol that like to watch this and listen, and I just, even though it's not something to concern, to the concern of VPRA at this point, it's something that I do know that is a concern to our friends further southwest and south.
    • 01:11:29
      It is an issue that we're going to have to work our way through at some point in time.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 01:11:35
      That's the end of our presentation.
    • 01:11:37
      Thank you for the back and forth.
    • 01:11:39
      It will be helpful for us to get that input from you.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:11:46
      Thank you, Mr. McLaughlin.
    • 01:11:50
      Right now, Mr. Cuttard.
    • 01:11:53
      Always here with good news, you are.
    • 01:11:55
      Right?
    • 01:12:02
      FY24 Budgets.
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 01:12:06
      So we're here to present on the budget.
    • 01:12:10
      We have recommended a budget to you to approve that.
    • 01:12:14
      We're coming back today to adopt that budget as a title.
    • 01:12:19
      That being said, the budget, our financial planning is an ongoing process, so we don't just stop in January and
    • 01:12:29
      The point really of our presentation today is to take you through the changes from January to today.
    • 01:12:48
      And what I'll say too is during that time we did three main things.
    • 01:12:54
      We went back to our funding priorities methodology.
    • 01:12:58
      We also started to implement a new project methodology that incorporated the idea of getting a 30% design before we adopt a full cost number into our capital budget.
    • 01:13:19
      And then the third item that we
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 01:13:23
      We looked hard at the board management concern and a lot of this uncertainty that we've been dealing with this past year and that the need for that reserve, it's obvious that we need that and it's actually good planning and most entities that have large capital programs have a reserve of that matter.
    • 01:13:46
      That being said, before I move on,
    • 01:13:48
      The changes from January to May are net to $7 million.
    • 01:13:53
      That's not a big number.
    • 01:13:54
      There are several items within that number, both positive and to a detrimental impact.
    • 01:14:02
      So we'll take you through all those details and move through this.
    • 01:14:07
      So funding priorities, methodology, once again, operations, the core of it, we're here to run passenger service.
    • 01:14:13
      So we're going to fund that as the top priority.
    • 01:14:16
      Capital and operating grants.
    • 01:14:18
      Those items are essentially pass-through funding to some of our partners to perform work and they're going to own those assets and maintain them.
    • 01:14:28
      And a lot of that funding, or most of that funding I shall say, is not funding that we have the ability to move from one project to another.
    • 01:14:37
      It's dedicated to that project primarily by the Commonwealth Transportation.
    • 01:14:43
      So that leaves capital projects.
    • 01:14:46
      This slide is very similar to what you saw in January.
    • 01:14:50
      It's been a little while, but the main difference is the work required being focused on.
    • 01:14:56
      So back in January, there were a few projects in phase one.
    • 01:15:02
      that it made sense for us to do at the same time as we were doing the required projects under the I-95 corridor agreement with CSX.
    • 01:15:12
      So you're out there.
    • 01:15:13
      You can extend this track for another mile.
    • 01:15:16
      Why would you come back 15 years later?
    • 01:15:19
      Why not do it today?
    • 01:15:20
      Well, when we were at that point in time, the funding, you know, the reality of the funding situation maybe wasn't as clear.
    • 01:15:29
      We've had more time to think about it.
    • 01:15:32
      And so removing those projects that aren't required but made sense to do at the same time, we're still funding them through design work.
    • 01:15:44
      Second item here is phase two.
    • 01:15:46
      And I guess what this also does, this methodology also does.
    • 01:15:49
      Phase two would be the I-95 corridor projects that are essentially from FY26 through FY30.
    • 01:15:57
      So this also gives us time
    • 01:16:00
      where if you're gonna have an unfunded, you're putting the unfunded amount on those phase two projects, which gives us time to find, one, to finish the design work, but then two, to find the funding necessary to work with the federal government, as we were talking about earlier, to get the necessary funding to complete the projects.
    • 01:16:22
      So this is, and I think we've already touched on this a little bit, but the key here is new.
    • 01:16:30
      Being started as an entity, we were given a set of capital projects where there were commitments made.
    • 01:16:36
      Contracts with CSX, contracts with Amtrak, commitments made to New River Valley, as the chair ruled.
    • 01:16:46
      Those committed projects, we can't just flip a switch and say we're going to alter our process and take them out of our budget.
    • 01:16:54
      only put them in when they get to 30%.
    • 01:16:57
      That being said, the lessons we've learned are going forward.
    • 01:17:02
      We're not going to come back to you and ask you to put a project in our capital budget.
    • 01:17:06
      We're going to come back to you and recommend a project that you fund a 30% design.
    • 01:17:11
      Then we'll have a good baseline scope, a good baseline schedule, a good baseline budget to come back to you to say, now, should we go forward with this project or not?
    • 01:17:29
      Other item, board management reserve.
    • 01:17:31
      It's good practice for entities with large capital programs.
    • 01:17:37
      Potentially this could be extended.
    • 01:17:39
      I got some feedback, maybe this could be extended to our operating budget also, but it's good practice for us to not essentially allocate every dollar we have because there are unidentified risk and that's on both the cost side of projects, but it's also
    • 01:17:58
      on the revenues.
    • 01:17:59
      Revenues, a lot of our revenues, some of them are fixed, but a lot of them are estimates.
    • 01:18:05
      Those estimates, a lot of them are tied to economic conditions and they can change both positive and negative.
    • 01:18:12
      That being said, I do want to say here that I want to work with the Finance Committee and come back to y'all in December to come up with what a goal or a benchmark would be for a dollar amount
    • 01:18:27
      of a reserve, also to consider whether or not it's for just capital projects, is it for operations.
    • 01:18:34
      One thing I think we're all consistent on is it's a board management reserve.
    • 01:18:38
      It's your decision how to use it.
    • 01:18:42
      In working through this, we realized internally that the actual process of how this board management reserve would get utilized is also important because there's going to be a limited amount of funding.
    • 01:18:54
      There's going to be projects that people want to do, and I think we work with the Finance Committee, we work through the process procedure.
    • 01:19:02
      We need to make sure when a new project comes to the board to utilize this reserve, we need to think about the other projects in the pipeline, not get tunnel vision for doing it.
    • 01:19:15
      You'll see later that Shanna is going to take you through all the numbers.
    • 01:19:18
      I'm just talking the high level theory of what we were doing between January and now.
    • 01:19:24
      But you'll see that we are actually recommending increasing management reserve.
    • 01:19:29
      We had recommended going from $15 million to $30 million in January.
    • 01:19:33
      Now we're saying let's push that to $124 million.
    • 01:19:38
      One last slide before we dive into real detail.
    • 01:19:41
      I said there was a $705 million funding gap on my first slide.
    • 01:19:49
      How do we plan to fill that gap?
    • 01:19:52
      So on the left side here, and we've talked about this already, federal investment, and Mike, you did a great job teeing this up, that we are really, it's not that we just put an application in and hope.
    • 01:20:05
      We have been working every angle we can to push for these projects to be funded.
    • 01:20:15
      I think
    • 01:20:15
      Honestly, geographically, we're in a great spot because we're on the southeast, but we also tied in the northeast corner.
    • 01:20:23
      So we, I'll say this, we feel confident today, 21% federal participation, including the Amtrak commitment.
    • 01:20:32
      We feel good that we can get that to 40%.
    • 01:20:35
      And a lot of projects such as this, the federal government's participating 50% and some
    • 01:20:42
      Some places they're hoping to get 80% from the federal government.
    • 01:20:45
      So we think it's very realistic to get that to 40%.
    • 01:20:48
      So that's the first place.
    • 01:20:50
      We talked about the $729 million Fed State Partnership application.
    • 01:20:55
      We talked about CIG for a billion dollar application.
    • 01:20:58
      That's another year, year and a half of May.
    • 01:21:01
      So we feel good that we will get a sizable amount of funding there to help us.
    • 01:21:06
      Second item up here is we talked, DJ mentioned this a little bit in the director's report,
    • 01:21:13
      You know, we can always plan to take the Amtrak passenger ticket revenues, instead of having them netted against cost of the service, have those revenues sent to us directly, take that revenue stream, go to municipal markets, and leverage them to be able to have funds today to put towards our capital projects.
    • 01:21:34
      In fact, in our plan today, it's $210 million to do so.
    • 01:21:39
      So that's current.
    • 01:21:40
      The green is
    • 01:21:42
      Ridership's up, revenue's up.
    • 01:21:46
      Maybe we were conservative in our original estimate, but we think now in talking with different advisors that maybe it's a $400 to $600 million potential source of funding.
    • 01:21:58
      The red arrow represents that we've spent a lot of time the past year working with Amtrak and we're nearing conclusion, I think, of those talks, but we're not certain
    • 01:22:11
      that we're going to get that division of the revenues from the expenditures.
    • 01:22:17
      So hopefully, I think we've talked maybe by the end of August to either get to that point or have some alternatives on the table.
    • 01:22:27
      So, but it is a risk to our plan.
    • 01:22:31
      So with that, I mean, and once again, I should have said this before I started, if y'all have questions, please feel free at any time to jump in.
    • 01:22:40
      I'm going to hand it over now to Shannon to take you through all the numbers.
    • SPEAKER_11
    • 01:22:49
      All right, so I'm going to provide an update on what's changed from January until May.
    • 01:22:53
      So what we're going to be looking at is the last four months.
    • 01:22:56
      However, if you are curious what has changed from 23 to 24, the executive summary and the budget document will detail that and all the changes holistically year over year.
    • 01:23:05
      But we are just going to zoom in in the last four months, getting you guys up to date on what we're presenting today.
    • 01:23:09
      So on the sources side, we had a decrease of revenue of $74 million.
    • 01:23:14
      Over on the USDA side, we also had a decrease of $80 million.
    • 01:23:17
      Somewhere that's positioned us is that we have a decrease to $6.4 billion in funding available for our projects, but our unfunded position will also drop to that $705 million.
    • 01:23:29
      And we're going to dive into each of these slides here about what those changes are made up of.
    • 01:23:34
      Starting with the sources, so this has come up.
    • 01:23:37
      So the I-66 inside the Beltway financing
    • 01:23:40
      We continue to talk about it.
    • 01:23:41
      This update here, this reduction really relates to the increase in interest rates.
    • 01:23:45
      So as those interest rates increase, the capacity you have on these financing decrease because you're paying more in the interest rates, right, to get that debt leverage forward.
    • 01:23:55
      Additionally, we received an updated toll and revenue study, which is informing this adjustment too.
    • 01:24:00
      So those are coming in lower than we had anticipated.
    • 01:24:03
      You probably have noticed every time we come up here, we talk a lot about the changes that have happened in the sources.
    • 01:24:07
      So we wanted to take this opportunity to
    • 01:24:09
      highlight some of the risks related to the sources in the plan and really where the underlying risk resides in some of our higher and moderate risk sources here.
    • 01:24:17
      So, of course, we have our I-66 inside the Beltway Toll Revenue Financing.
    • 01:24:22
      I think the last three times you've come to talk about the budget, there's been an adjustment related to this revenue source.
    • 01:24:27
      What's driving the risk here is that this is sitting on top of toll revenues that have really not recovered from the pandemic.
    • 01:24:33
      It's really because traffic patterns are just different now.
    • 01:24:36
      People are not going back into work.
    • 01:24:37
      So the risk here is the underlying toll revenue supporting this capacity.
    • 01:24:42
      Next, we have our Amtrak ticket revenue financing.
    • 01:24:44
      Well, this is a financing really different fact pattern here.
    • 01:24:47
      So the revenues here are really strong.
    • 01:24:48
      And as Steve mentioned, we could double or triple the amount we could leverage from this.
    • 01:24:53
      However, it's really working with our partner to
    • 01:24:55
      change a procedure and break the mold to kind of shift the way that they've historically done things and separate the revenues and expenses and actually give us the ability to do the financing in the first place.
    • 01:25:04
      So that's where the risk resides in this specific source.
    • 01:25:08
      The next two sources come kind of from the same genesis here.
    • 01:25:11
      So we've got the Priority Transportation Fund and the Commonwealth Rail Fund.
    • 01:25:15
      Both of these are funneled to us through allocations that sit at the Commonwealth Transportation Fund level.
    • 01:25:20
      And what comes in there are just variety of tax revenues from throughout the Commonwealth.
    • 01:25:23
      If we enter a state of a recession or, heaven forbid, another pandemic, we could definitely see some changes related to these sources coming into the plan.
    • 01:25:32
      We are shamelessly just taking another stab at pointing out the importance of that board management reserve.
    • 01:25:37
      So it's a really great tool, not only to manage the cost side or opportunities, but these fluctuations in sources.
    • 01:25:43
      It's a way to mitigate that uncertainty and make sure we have that sound financial plan basis.
    • 01:25:49
      So, sources side, that $74 million decrease that we're showing in our plan,
    • 01:25:53
      We used to decide that $80 million is comprised of a few of our budget components.
    • 01:25:57
      So starting with operations, you'll recall we're going to be having you guys approve a one-year operations budget, but for financial planning purposes, we go all the way out to FY30.
    • 01:26:07
      So in that timeframe, we have reduced the expenses related to our route costs and additives, and then also our NSC throughcharges.
    • 01:26:14
      There was a significant uptick that we saw in the beginning of FY23.
    • 01:26:17
      We've gained confidence in working with Amtrak and really partnering with their revenue management and expense management teams that this is not going to continue.
    • 01:26:24
      So we feel confident that we can reduce this expense in our financial plan, dropping us 40 million dollars in the operations expenses.
    • 01:26:32
      Next, we're going to dive into the capital projects of the I-95 corridor.
    • 01:26:36
      So over the last four months, we've had updated cost estimates or continued refinements within a milestone, and that's resulted in a 36 million dollar increase.
    • 01:26:44
      related to these projects.
    • 01:26:46
      Next, we have those methodology adjustments, which is a big decrease of $170 million.
    • 01:26:50
      So if you recall the slide that Steve just presented, so initially we had these project budgets in from start all the way to completion, but now we're just going to be doing just to that 30% design mark.
    • 01:27:00
      So everything from 30% to completion has been removed.
    • 01:27:04
      So it's a significant number that we are pulling from our plan at this time.
    • 01:27:07
      However, some of the money that was sitting on a project is considered funded
    • 01:27:11
      That has been shifted over to the board management reserve for future allocations.
    • 01:27:14
      So it's still there.
    • 01:27:15
      We're just shifting it to another way to manage it a little bit differently.
    • 01:27:20
      So diving into those methodology adjustments, what projects were impacted.
    • 01:27:24
      This is what we're going to talk about here.
    • 01:27:26
      Steve already noted this.
    • 01:27:27
      So when we brought these projects into the plan initially, the landscape and the financial plan was much different.
    • 01:27:32
      We had the ability to bring these projects in for a variety of reasons.
    • 01:27:35
      However, that's not the fact pattern anymore.
    • 01:27:37
      So we're trying to gain some more credence in what we're doing and have informed cost estimates for these projects.
    • 01:27:41
      So the top table right here, so this here is going to be non-required projects that we'd love to do on the Phase 1 timeline.
    • 01:27:49
      So these are not included in the CRA.
    • 01:27:51
      If we could pull them back in, we would like to get them done while we're doing a lot of work in that 2026 deadline, the Phase 1 timeline.
    • 01:27:59
      What we've done is that we're going to say that we're going to pull these out for now.
    • 01:28:01
      We're going to complete 30% our final design, and we are going to have an informed cost estimate to make our decisions on if we should and can bring these back into the plan.
    • 01:28:10
      The phase three projects, again, we pulled these into the plan.
    • 01:28:13
      It was a nice to have.
    • 01:28:14
      Go ahead and pull them in while we have the funding available, as they're not required in these two timelines that we're working with.
    • 01:28:20
      We have, again, pulled those out.
    • 01:28:21
      We're going to complete 30% design, have that informed cost estimate, but pause for the time being.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 01:28:26
      So, real quick on the Route 1, third track, and the Franklin Bridge is over Route 1, Fairfax Bridge is over Route 1, to Railroad Bridge is over Route 1.
    • 01:28:38
      I mentioned earlier, Franklin Road, the third track project, that was six miles.
    • 01:28:42
      We are trying to be aggressive and go an extra mile and also cover a Route 1 bridge as well.
    • 01:28:46
      Those are not required as part of Phase 1 or Phase 2 to get service with CSX.
    • 01:28:51
      I also want to note that at one point Fairfax County DOT had planned a Route 1 B or T
    • 01:28:57
      down all that way.
    • 01:28:58
      So a few years back, we were working with them and we were trying to expedite the Phase 3 project to be able to meet their demands to widen underneath the Route 1 rail bridge.
    • 01:29:06
      Their plans no longer include going that first south, they're stopping around Fort Beaumont.
    • 01:29:10
      So there are some rhyme or reasons as to those, again, not needed for service for Phase 1 or Phase 2.
    • 01:29:17
      We're just trying to get aggressive with our contracting.
    • 01:29:20
      If we can get out and do an extra mile, we'll always look for those opportunities.
    • 01:29:23
      And that's why we're taking the 30%.
    • 01:29:26
      So if something were to change, we can do the extra mile, we can do the rail bridge, we would, because it could be the right thing to do if we have the money, but right now, we don't have the funding.
    • 01:29:35
      But we'll keep, again, doing that 30% design in case opportunities arise.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:29:41
      Question.
    • 01:29:43
      So the two bridges, the railroad bridge over Route 1 and the Lorton to Route 1.
    • 01:29:51
      That's the third track.
    • 01:29:54
      So we would fund 30% design.
    • 01:29:59
      Is that right?
    • 01:29:59
      So we would fund that.
    • 01:30:03
      But we don't think that we would be including it in our program.
    • SPEAKER_11
    • 01:30:08
      So the financial landscape, if we got a lot of federal dollars, we could potentially bring it back in, and we could kind of pull that forward in the timeline, but it just really depends on what the total funding picture looks like, and we'll know a lot more in the near future, but it is, it's getting that important cost estimate, so if we get the funding and it's available, we can bring it in.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:30:26
      Yeah, so, and don't quote me on these numbers, I'm just using
    • 01:30:29
      Illustrative Numbers.
    • 01:30:31
      But without 30% design, we'll put $60 million in the bridge and we'll arrange the financial plan around it.
    • 01:30:38
      And then when we get to 30%, we'll find out it's 90.
    • 01:30:40
      Well, if it was 90, we would have made a very different decision.
    • 01:30:43
      So the whole paradigm shift here is we'll get these to 30.
    • 01:30:47
      We'll know that it's $51.5 million.
    • 01:30:50
      That's probably too exact, but it's $51 million.
    • 01:30:52
      And then we'll say, okay, directionally,
    • 01:30:54
      We think that that's a good investment for the board.
    • 01:30:56
      I mean, it's going to be your decision.
    • 01:30:58
      We think that's a good investment.
    • 01:30:59
      So we will add that to the project portfolio.
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 01:31:03
      I'm sorry, DJ.
    • 01:31:04
      No, no, go ahead.
    • 01:31:05
      When we bring it back to you, how you've done 30% design, I think I said this, but I think we need to be very careful that we look at it holistically, that we don't get tunnel vision on just that project and what's in the management reserve, because there might be three other projects that are going to be 30% design done in another month or two.
    • 01:31:23
      So we have to widen our view.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:31:28
      I think the better example is, an equally good example is King and Commonwealth.
    • 01:31:33
      We feel strongly we've got to do King and Commonwealth.
    • 01:31:35
      When we're in there for Alexandria Fourth Track and we're ripping up that whole area, we're negatively impacting people's commutes after giving them plenty of advance notice.
    • 01:31:43
      It doesn't make any sense to not do King and Commonwealth.
    • 01:31:46
      But let's make that decision when we know it's a 60 million dollar investment and not 160 million dollar investment.
    • 01:31:52
      So it's getting that information and making more well-informed decisions is what we're trying to do.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:31:57
      It provides more clarity.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:31:59
      What we don't want is, we made this decision when we thought it was 50, now it's 150, we wouldn't have done this.
    • 01:32:08
      We need to stop, we need to get more consistent about getting good data before we do.
    • SPEAKER_05
    • 01:32:15
      Well, I really appreciate what you're doing in this discussion because we raise expectations from people and then it turns out it can never happen.
    • 01:32:24
      or it makes me think of the old six-year plans that were just a wish list that were so difficult because people thought something was going to happen that could never happen.
    • SPEAKER_00
    • 01:32:34
      So thank you.
    • 01:32:37
      And another thing, I think it's going to be important because one of the things that you said is we've got to get King and Commonwealth done if we
    • 01:32:46
      get to that 30% done.
    • 01:32:49
      Being able to prioritize each of those projects based on those tangentials as information that's going to be critical to the board just to get to what you just said.
    • 01:33:00
      Is this a wish list?
    • 01:33:01
      Is this a possibility?
    • 01:33:03
      Is this remote reality?
    • SPEAKER_05
    • 01:33:05
      And then the public understands that, that it's a wish list if we can make it happen.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:33:10
      And I don't think on King Commonwealth because these numbers are not well.
    • 01:33:14
      We need to get King Commonwealth done.
    • 01:33:16
      We get to 30% and on to 60% we find out it's a $500 million project.
    • 01:33:21
      We've got to look at other options to band-aid what's there now, because at that point it doesn't make any sense.
    • 01:33:26
      Until we have good numbers, we're finding it's irresponsible to make those time.
    • SPEAKER_11
    • 01:33:35
      You'll notice that a lot of these changes that we're talking about are going to impact the I-95 corridor.
    • 01:33:39
      So we're going to zoom in on what the I-95 corridor program now looks like with these methodology adjustments.
    • 01:33:45
      So first, if we start adjustments that have had plan over plan.
    • 01:33:49
      So we've got the current plan in comparison to the prior plan of what has changed.
    • 01:33:53
      So here in this phase one area, the top section here,
    • 01:33:57
      So the changes that we're reflecting really relate to those cost estimates.
    • 01:34:00
      Either we got a cost estimate that came in the door for the first time, reaching a 30%, or we continued to refine within a cost estimate period.
    • 01:34:06
      So that's that $36 million increase in this phase one section at the top.
    • 01:34:11
      And then right here, we've got the non-required new projects and then the phase three projects.
    • 01:34:15
      So here, that's where we're taking out any of the funding or the project costs that was sitting from 30% to completion.
    • 01:34:21
      So that's that $170 million that we've reduced in these two categories.
    • 01:34:25
      The big methodology changes here are going to be on the right-hand side.
    • 01:34:31
      Phase one, it's green.
    • 01:34:32
      This is the shortest timeline.
    • 01:34:33
      Once we complete phase one, we get two trains.
    • 01:34:36
      We get another one out of Richmond, so two out of Richmond, and then our third Newport News train.
    • 01:34:40
      That's why this is fully funded.
    • 01:34:42
      We have the shortest timeline to get these projects done.
    • 01:34:45
      That's why it's green.
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 01:35:32
      Thelma
    • 01:36:14
      Thanks for watching!
    • 01:36:54
      Now we're not.
    • SPEAKER_11
    • 01:37:13
      The last part on this slide, so we have the $699 million sitting as unfunded in the I-95 corridor.
    • 01:37:19
      So what gets us back to the total unfunded there, so you may recall from January, we had an S-line grant match of 60% that we determined that that was outside of our priorities at this time, so that was $6 million.
    • 01:37:29
      So that plus the unfunded in the I-95 corridor will get you back to the $705 million total, what we're looking at is our unfunded balance for the VPRA program and projects at this time.
    • 01:37:40
      Move off the I-95 corridor and go to the Western Rail corridor, which from a budget perspective is obviously a lot simpler.
    • 01:37:46
      However, as Mike presented, there's a lot going on in this corridor and a lot more to come on what we're going to ultimately be doing out in the Western Rail corridor.
    • 01:37:53
      So the one change you'll see here is that we've dropped some dollars from the New River Valley platform and track down to do that 30% feasibility assessment for the service facility and temporary platforms.
    • 01:38:04
      Overall, no change in the budget that we're proposing, and in accordance with our priorities.
    • 01:38:10
      So we've made the commitment to get down to New River Valley.
    • 01:38:13
      So we are funding all of this quarter at this time.
    • 01:38:16
      I think you may have noticed the common theme that there's a lot of things in flux right now within our plan.
    • 01:38:21
      So Western Rail, we'll still forget exactly what we're doing.
    • 01:38:25
      We have a big fit state partnership coming in the door, hopefully soon, figuring out what that dollar value could potentially be.
    • 01:38:30
      The Amtrak ticket financing, we're not sure if we're going to be able to actually leverage those dollars.
    • 01:38:35
      So really the underlying theme is that
    • 01:38:37
      We have a lot to consider.
    • 01:38:39
      We run some scenarios internally about what do we do with certain funding limits?
    • 01:38:43
      What would the next steps be for us as a VPRA as a whole?
    • 01:38:46
      However, there's a lot of things in flux that we're going to know between now and likely the end of the year.
    • 01:38:50
      So hopefully in that December board meeting, we'll be able to update you on what the ultimate or the plan for the program or projects that we're going to support on a forward-looking basis.
    • 01:39:00
      But through all this, as we continue to hear is that we've come up with a great new project methodology, making sure that we have informed cost estimates
    • 01:39:07
      before we bring projects into the program.
    • 01:39:09
      More importantly, what we feel is that management reserve that we're going to be establishing guardrails on, having that as part of our plan.
    • 01:39:15
      We really are growing through all of this.
    • 01:39:17
      There's a lot more to come in the near term on what the program looks like for VPRA.
    • 01:39:23
      Rounding off of the capital projects and big changes, we just have one more slide here.
    • 01:39:27
      This is the one-year train operations budget.
    • 01:39:29
      So for FY24, we wanted to note the one change that we made.
    • 01:39:32
      So this comparison is looking at 23 versus 24.
    • 01:39:35
      The one line we change is that any seek-through credit expense, as we mentioned, we gained confidence that that uptick we saw in 23 is not going to recurse.
    • 01:39:43
      So we dropped this $3 million, which that resulted in an increase in our overall cost recovery by 1%, bringing us 52% for our forecast in FY24.
    • 01:39:53
      So that's all of our presentation for the updates in the last four months to our VPRA budget.
    • 01:39:59
      So if there are no questions, we'll ask the board to address the FY24 VPRA budget.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:40:04
      So questions for Mr. Pitter and Janet, go ahead.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:40:11
      Sure, I have two if we could go back to two slides for me.
    • 01:40:14
      Side five, which is about the reserve.
    • 01:40:18
      I think it's a great idea to have a reserve.
    • 01:40:21
      Most local governments do, most organizations have something.
    • 01:40:25
      It's a little bit about the definition of this.
    • 01:40:28
      Is there a definition of eligible uses or how this is processed?
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 01:40:39
      The only definition around it, Director Fisette, is that it's y'all's decision and that's a
    • 01:40:46
      Between now and December, working with the Finance Committee, we want to come back and put a lot more definition around it.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:40:53
      I hope you described it to me was if I wanted to spend $3 from that reserve, I had to come to the board and get it approved.
    • 01:40:59
      Absolutely, positively, money for this board to allocate.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:41:02
      Okay, well, and I would actually, and if it requires a motion on that, if you think it's worth it, I would do it.
    • 01:41:08
      I do think that the Finance Committee would be a place to tackle this first and draft something to bring to the board, but I would argue that it should be a definition of the reserve.
    • 01:41:19
      The eligible uses, capital versus operating,
    • 01:41:23
      I actually personally would not recommend that the board has to agree to everything.
    • 01:41:28
      There should be a limit at which DJ can spend the money without coming to the board.
    • 01:41:34
      So I would, I think for us to come to deal with $100 or $5,000 is kind of absurd.
    • 01:41:40
      So I would argue that that should be part of the conversation.
    • 01:41:43
      There should be a target whether it's a dollar amount or percentage, you know Those are the kinds of things but right now we're approving it without really having a definition of it Even the title I would say it's called a board management reserve.
    • 01:41:59
      I would get rid of the word board Making a management reserve maybe in the end this you propose that the finance committee proposes a
    • 01:42:06
      Management Capital Reserve, and then a second one or maybe not one for operating.
    • 01:42:12
      But it seems to me those issues are somewhat significant for VPRA to be clear on.
    • 01:42:18
      So I would either make a motion to direct the staff to work with the Finance Committee to define the parameters, eligible uses, amounts, target amounts, and how to tap into
    • 01:42:36
      a management reserve fund as described, you know, broadly today.
    • 01:42:43
      Second, yeah, if you put that forward.
    • 01:42:45
      That would probably, unless there's something wrong with the language.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:42:49
      I mean, I think that's fine.
    • 01:42:50
      I think that was the intent anyway.
    • 01:42:51
      I don't know that we need a formal resolution of the board to do that.
    • 01:42:54
      I think we're committed to making sure that happens.
    • 01:42:57
      This is very similar to what the Commonwealth Transportation Board has done in establishing a reserve fund as well.
    • 01:43:04
      It's a best practice.
    • 01:43:05
      So, you know, kudos to the staff for putting this together.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:43:08
      And I think you do have a motion and a second right now.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:43:13
      We do have a motion and a second.
    • 01:43:14
      I'd like to speak to it.
    • 01:43:16
      You know, I think the Finance Committee is a good place for us to, you know, maybe put some hard rails around, you know,
    • 01:43:26
      how this reserve would be spent.
    • 01:43:30
      And it is a reserve to be spent.
    • 01:43:32
      So there are different kinds of reserves.
    • 01:43:36
      We have reserves that we're not supposed to touch unless, you know, the sky is falling, right?
    • 01:43:42
      That's not what this is.
    • 01:43:44
      And so this is a reserve that is meant to, you know, to be available.
    • 01:43:49
      But we should talk about what are good projects or what would
    • 01:43:55
      Good Projects B that we should spend it on.
    • 01:43:59
      So I think having that discussion is good.
    • 01:44:04
      Anyway, I appreciate the motion and I think it'll be a good discussion.
    • 01:44:12
      Yeah.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:44:13
      All right, so I do have a motion and a second.
    • 01:44:15
      Thank you for keeping me on track.
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 01:44:18
      Madam Chair, can you make a motion please?
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:44:21
      I can repeat to put somebody in you.
    • 01:44:26
      Catch it as best you could, I'll fill in.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:44:28
      I did.
    • 01:44:29
      It was to define the parameters of the understanding of what a management reserve was.
    • 01:44:35
      It was to target the amounts or consider the amounts that the management reserve would be.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:44:41
      Amount or percentage, right, yeah.
    • 01:44:46
      Eligible uses.
    • 01:44:48
      And how?
    • 01:44:50
      How to access?
    • 01:44:56
      So that was the general.
    • 01:44:58
      Is that to be referred to the Finance Committee?
    • 01:45:01
      Correct.
    • 01:45:02
      Yeah, for discussion, initial discussion, drafting, it would come back here.
    • 01:45:06
      Okay.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:45:07
      And then to bring it back here, do we want to add bring it back here at the next?
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:45:12
      Yeah, I didn't put a timeline on it, but sure.
    • 01:45:16
      I appreciate that that was kind of what was intended anyway, but I think it's helpful to lay it out a little bit.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:45:23
      August or the December?
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:45:27
      August is what I'm thinking, because I do think this board, to the presentation that Mr. McLaughlin made earlier in New River Valley, we're going to have decisions that are going to have to be made on how to use this money to advance these projects that are getting to the 30-60% and we're going to
    • 01:45:45
      We're going to need to allocate those resources to this project.
    • 01:45:49
      So we don't want to belabor this any longer.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:45:51
      I think we sort of determined that as we went through this briefing.
    • 01:45:55
      So there are some projects that are so far along.
    • 01:46:00
      And there's such a commitment to and there's been so much work already underway.
    • 01:46:07
      So they go into a category that's
    • SPEAKER_13
    • 01:46:10
      Well I think what we should look at is some form of a percentage based on what we're going to do because we have these unfunded things out there so we need to be able to pay that reserve fund which usually talks about debt within a certain period of time.
    • 01:46:33
      is going to be very important, especially if what we're expecting to come in does not.
    • 01:46:39
      So I think that's sooner rather than later.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:46:48
      Okay.
    • 01:46:50
      Got the motion on the table with a second.
    • 01:46:52
      I think we're all, Mayor Stel, you've got what we've captured.
    • 01:46:59
      We've got Mr. Westerman.
    • 01:47:01
      Got it?
    • 01:47:02
      Okay.
    • 01:47:03
      Any more discussion?
    • 01:47:04
      Oh, wait a second.
    • 01:47:06
      Edward, you always have to bring something up, don't you?
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 01:47:10
      I just have a slight concern with August, mostly because we would need to convene the Finance Committee.
    • 01:47:16
      I know we're really busy with ERP.
    • 01:47:20
      I do agree, the sooner the better.
    • 01:47:25
      I just wanted to at least say that for the benefit of my team because
    • 01:47:31
      And the other thing I do want to say, too, to all the board members is all the finance committee meetings are open to all the board.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:47:39
      I appreciate your concern.
    • 01:47:42
      I would like to keep August.
    • SPEAKER_05
    • 01:47:45
      Well, can we meet that?
    • 01:47:47
      Can we meet the deadline Steve's talking about so that we know how we're moving forward?
    • 01:47:52
      I mean, as I think that's your concern is that we will get it done.
    • 01:47:57
      OK.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:47:58
      Yeah, I don't want to speak for Steve's concern, and I feel strongly, first of all, the August meeting is the 30th, so we have that whole month.
    • 01:48:06
      The second thing is that to convene the Finance Committee, there are a lot of calendars that are very busy, and just getting that first meeting might be tough, but we can do it virtually, we'll work it out.
    • 01:48:16
      We've got time.
    • 01:48:17
      There are challenges above and beyond.
    • 01:48:21
      Calendars are hard, but we will make sure it gets done.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:48:23
      Well, in the interim, are there projects that
    • 01:48:27
      You would want to prioritize before we...
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:48:30
      Okay.
    • 01:48:30
      Not before August.
    • 01:48:32
      Okay.
    • 01:48:32
      Now, the rules are spot on.
    • 01:48:35
      We may come back in August and say, based on the Finance Committee's work, we would like to present this recommendation to define the management reserve or whatever it's called.
    • 01:48:46
      Please consider this.
    • 01:48:47
      And if you all approve it, our next presentation might be in here.
    • 01:48:50
      A couple of projects we're looking to have you.
    • 01:48:53
      Okay.
    • 01:48:53
      Just don't want a handcuff.
    • 01:48:55
      Right.
    • 01:48:55
      We appreciate it.
    • 01:48:56
      Right.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:48:59
      All right, so any more discussion?
    • 01:49:02
      All right, Maristelle, can you call the roll?
    • 01:49:06
      Ms. Bulova?
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:49:08
      Aye.
    • 01:49:09
      Mr. Cardwell?
    • 01:49:11
      Aye.
    • 01:49:13
      Mr. Delandro?
    • SPEAKER_13
    • 01:49:14
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:49:15
      Ms. Drake?
    • 01:49:16
      Aye.
    • 01:49:17
      Mr. Fisette?
    • 01:49:18
      Aye.
    • 01:49:19
      Mr. Hall?
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:49:21
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:49:23
      Ms. Moses-Nedd?
    • 01:49:25
      Aye.
    • 01:49:25
      Mr. Payne?
    • SPEAKER_14
    • 01:49:26
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:49:27
      Mr. Spore?
    • SPEAKER_14
    • 01:49:28
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:49:30
      Thank you.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:49:37
      Slide eight.
    • 01:49:38
      It's a quick one on these risk ratings.
    • 01:49:42
      And I get the first one, I was chairing NVTC when the toll revenues were put towards us and all that stuff.
    • 01:49:49
      So I appreciate the changes in commuter patterns are making that a volatile funding source.
    • 01:49:55
      The one here that surprises me that I would love to draw a little attention to,
    • 01:50:02
      It should be solvable.
    • 01:50:03
      It's the second one.
    • 01:50:05
      Amtrak is like our sister agency.
    • 01:50:09
      We should have the same goals.
    • 01:50:10
      We have people on the board involved.
    • 01:50:12
      DJ used to work there, right?
    • 01:50:13
      I mean, how come we can't solve that one?
    • 01:50:16
      Why is it so volatile?
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:50:20
      Folks at the upper levels of Amtrak are very committed to making sure that it gets done.
    • 01:50:25
      It's just a change in process that has never been contemplated before and
    • 01:50:29
      That's a lousy answer.
    • 01:50:31
      I say it as it's coming out of my mouth, but I have confidence from Roger Harris, who's the president, that this will get done and we'll work through it.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:50:41
      I guess it's just an example of, you know, will it take a year or two through a bureaucracy to get it done, or can we remove it from the high risk and make it a clear part of the budget, which just seems to me that this is a great example of if we want to move rail across the United States, Amtrak and VPRA need to be able to problem solve something as simple as, quote, simple as that pretty quickly.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 01:51:04
      Answering your first question, will it take a year?
    • 01:51:06
      We've been at it for about 18 months, so yes.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:51:10
      I find that really discouraging.
    • 01:51:12
      So I would just kind of direct people to use their relationships and power and network including board members to judge this to conclusion.
    • 01:51:23
      Understood.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:51:26
      Any further discussion?
    • 01:51:27
      Hearing none, we have another action that needs to be taken.
    • 01:51:33
      A significant one and that is to approve the fiscal year 24 budget.
    • SPEAKER_14
    • 01:51:39
      Do I have a motion to approve?
    • 01:51:41
      So approved.
    • 01:51:42
      Second.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:51:43
      All right, motion by Mr. Payne, second by Mr. Spore.
    • 01:51:45
      Mayor Snell, can you call the roll?
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:51:47
      I have a question.
    • 01:51:48
      Okay.
    • 01:51:49
      Does the statute require us to adopt, are we allowed to adopt a budget that has not been approved by the CTB?
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:51:56
      The action taken by the CTB in March fulfills the legislative requirement.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:52:01
      That's a really, that was a key because these are modest and I have no problem with the changes, but I just wanted to make sure we were consistent with the statute.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:52:08
      The statute requires that the CTB take action on the capital portion of the program only.
    • 01:52:14
      So they're not approving the entire budget, but we've kind of batted that, we've had that conversation here quite a bit ourselves, but we have fulfilled the intent of the statute.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 01:52:24
      So we think we're consistent legally, okay, fine.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:52:31
      All right, so we have a motion and a second.
    • 01:52:33
      Any further discussion?
    • SPEAKER_14
    • 01:52:35
      Can I just comment?
    • 01:52:36
      I think the dollar changes are not that significant.
    • 01:52:39
      What is significant here is long-term, the very integrity, reputation, brand, whatever you want to call it, confidence in this agency, in this authority, are riding on these adjustments, and I totally support them.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:52:59
      Madam Chairman, yes, I would like to echo that, and I appreciate the
    • 01:53:04
      recommendation for the 30% design, which provides more discipline for us to consider new projects.
    • 01:53:17
      And I think the discussion that we'll be having in finance, the finance committee will provide further discipline into how we choose to provide funding for projects.
    • 01:53:34
      And I would lastly like to say that we have some major commitments that have already been made.
    • 01:53:41
      And the Long Bridge, the New River Valley and the extension of rail there, those are things that are going to happen.
    • 01:53:53
      But new things will come to us that we need to have a little bit of science behind our decision making.
    • 01:54:10
      Other comments?
    • 01:54:14
      Ms. Bulova?
    • 01:54:17
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:54:18
      Mr. Cardwell?
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:54:19
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:54:22
      Mr. Delandro?
    • SPEAKER_13
    • 01:54:23
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:54:24
      Ms. Drake?
    • 01:54:25
      Aye.
    • 01:54:25
      Mr. Fisette?
    • SPEAKER_13
    • 01:54:26
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:54:27
      Mr. Hall?
    • SPEAKER_14
    • 01:54:30
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:54:31
      Ms. Moses-Nedd?
    • 01:54:32
      Aye.
    • 01:54:33
      Mr. Payne?
    • SPEAKER_14
    • 01:54:34
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:54:34
      Mr. Spore?
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:54:36
      Aye.
    • 01:54:37
      Motion carries.
    • 01:54:41
      So at this point, what we're going to do is we're going to take a break for lunch.
    • 01:54:47
      But before we do, we have need for a closed session this afternoon.
    • 01:54:53
      So we'll take a break for lunch, get our lunches start.
    • 01:54:58
      We'll do the formal stuff for the closed session in a minute.
    • 01:55:01
      We'll start the closed session at one with anticipating coming back into an open session around 1.45.
    • 01:55:08
      You know, for somebody who was late and doesn't like to be late, recovered nicely today.
    • SPEAKER_14
    • 01:55:14
      Back on track.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:55:15
      Right back on track.
    • 01:55:16
      All right, so can I get a motion to go into closed session, please?
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:55:22
      I move that the Board convene in a closed session pursuant to Section 222-37A8 of the Code of Virginia for the purpose of consulting with legal counsel
    • 01:55:35
      on specific legal matters related to VPRA, legal liability, or incidents occurring on its property, and that the VPRA executive team, including an executive assistant, attend the closed session.
    • 01:55:54
      And then we need a second to that motion.
    • 01:55:56
      So second.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:55:58
      Motion by Ms. Bulova, second by Mr. Fisette.
    • 01:56:02
      Any discussion?
    • 01:56:05
      All right, Mary Stell.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:56:07
      Ms. Bulova.
    • 01:56:08
      Aye.
    • 01:56:09
      Mr. Cardwell.
    • SPEAKER_13
    • 01:56:10
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:56:11
      Mr. Delandro.
    • SPEAKER_13
    • 01:56:13
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:56:13
      Ms. Drake.
    • 01:56:14
      Aye.
    • 01:56:15
      Mr. Fisette.
    • 01:56:16
      Aye.
    • 01:56:17
      Mr. Hall.
    • SPEAKER_13
    • 01:56:20
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:56:21
      Ms. Moses-Nedd.
    • 01:56:23
      Aye.
    • 01:56:23
      Mr. Payne.
    • SPEAKER_14
    • 01:56:24
      Aye.
    • SPEAKER_03
    • 01:56:25
      Mr. Spore.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 01:56:28
      Aye.
    • 01:56:28
      Motion carries.
    • 01:56:29
      Okay, so we will convene in closed session
    • 01:56:35
      1 o'clock and we will see everybody else.
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 01:59:51
      as we know now.
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:00:22
      from the Army Corps of Engineers, Virginia's DEQ, and other permitting industries that we need to get to our permit source that we have for this project.
    • 02:00:35
      So getting into the procurement schedule, we are doing, like I said, the south package.
    • 02:00:39
      That will be design-built.
    • 02:00:40
      We'll get into more what that means in a minute.
    • 02:00:43
      And then the north package, progressive design-built.
    • 02:00:46
      The north package is the critical path for the project, which means it's the longest element of work.
    • 02:00:52
      in order to get the entire project done, which is why we've gone out with this one first, the actual first two due dates here.
    • 02:00:59
      March 24th, we released the request for qualifications, and then we got five teams responding on May 5th.
    • 02:01:08
      That is an active procurement.
    • 02:01:10
      They are evaluating those now.
    • 02:01:12
      We are looking for a short list in June of June 21st, and then we'll go on to the next phase, doing the RFP release, and then they'll do their proposals,
    • SPEAKER_14
    • 02:01:25
      Jason.
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:01:51
      Anyway, the goal is to get to contract execution by the end of the year.
    • 02:01:56
      So the final board meeting this year will be coming to you looking for approval so that we can go on to phase one of that contract, which is the design and basically a constructability review.
    • 02:02:07
      We're also working on the south package.
    • 02:02:09
      This will have its request for qualifications released at the end of June.
    • 02:02:15
      This has a much longer procurement period because it is the design build project.
    • 02:02:19
      We would be looking to get that contract executed by October of next year and that should be plenty of time for us to get done by late 2030, which is the goal for both contracts to be done with construction by that time.
    • 02:02:33
      So we're going to focus more on the north package because that's the active procurement right now and the next thing that you want to have an action on for the long bridge.
    • 02:02:41
      As we look at this slide, this visualization that we have.
    • SPEAKER_13
    • 02:02:51
      Now driving up... Chinese hackers and focusing on infrastructure...
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:03:05
      So to understand what makes Progressive Design build for this contract, I just want you to look at how the elements of this project can make it far more complex.
    • 02:03:17
      Down here, as we get closer to the river,
    • 02:03:19
      We're basically building offline from the active rail corridor.
    • 02:03:23
      We can do our work without getting in the way of CSX.
    • 02:03:26
      There are utilities here, but it's much more straightforward.
    • 02:03:29
      The contractor is going to have much more control over his work.
    • 02:03:33
      As we neck down on the other side of I-395, you can see it gets much tighter here.
    • 02:03:37
      Not only are we building the new passenger rail corridor, but we're rebuilding the existing freight rail corridor for everything, obviously.
    • 02:03:47
      So we're going to have to be working around an active rail line.
    • 02:03:49
      We're going to be very dependent on CSX forces, flaggers, and others who perform work that only CSX can do.
    • 02:03:56
      And so this area has a great potential to be delayed because we'll be waiting on those forces in order to move to subsequent phases of work.
    • 02:04:06
      So let's talk about different contract structures.
    • 02:04:09
      These are the four basic types that are used for projects of this sort.
    • 02:04:13
      unless you're getting into maintenance or operations or private money like a P3.
    • 02:04:19
      So we have the classic design-bid-build.
    • 02:04:21
      This is typically like what CSX uses.
    • 02:04:23
      You design it, procure it, you build it.
    • 02:04:26
      It's very straightforward, usually awarded based on price.
    • 02:04:29
      Usually not the quickest way and definitely not the most innovative because you don't have the contractor involved during the design phase.
    • 02:04:36
      Another one you've heard a lot about, I'm sure it's become very, very popular over the last 20, 25 years is design-build.
    • 02:04:42
      and that's where the owner advances the design to 30%, then they go through procurement, find a success to the preferred design build team, you need a contract price that should be the final price at 30%, and then they go ahead and design a building.
    • 02:04:58
      Very fast, good price competition, but it can be maybe not the right choice if you have a very complex project the way we do, where knowing what the price is at 30% design is just really hard to do and virtually impossible.
    • 02:05:12
      So then you might look at progressive design belt, and that's where you award the contract.
    • 02:05:16
      It's very similar to this, where you award the contract at 30% design, but you don't do it based on price, mostly.
    • 02:05:24
      There's a little bit of element of price, but it's mostly based on qualifications.
    • 02:05:28
      Then you go through a phase with about 60%, and then they start pricing it up and negotiating what we call an independent
    • 02:05:36
      Cost Estimator.
    • 02:05:37
      It's an independent entity that has experience in how contractors price projects.
    • 02:05:43
      They're basically checking every step of the way to make sure that what our proposer, our contractor, is doing is fair.
    • 02:05:50
      So if they get within 10 percent, then we can award that contract to the only selected as part of phase one.
    • 02:05:56
      They go and build the contract.
    • 02:05:57
      If they don't get within 10 percent, then we would have to say goodbye to that contractor.
    • 02:06:02
      The designer would stay on and complete the design
    • 02:06:05
      and then we would just advertise it as like a design big bill.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 02:06:08
      Ten percent of what?
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:06:10
      Ten percent, so say the contractor is up here and our ice is down here, if that's not ten percent, that difference.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 02:06:18
      Of the independent sort of assessor?
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:06:21
      Yes, so the independent assessor is more than ten percent less than what the contractor is and we can't negotiate away that difference then we would have to say, you know, sorry and then
    • 02:06:32
      Just finish the design and advertise it like it's a design.
    • 02:06:38
      Another type that we're not using on here, but I believe we're using on the Franconia bypass is our construction manager, general contractor, our construction manager at risk.
    • 02:06:48
      That's similar to both progressive design build and design build in that you bring the contractor on at about 30%, but the designer continues to work for the owner.
    • 02:06:59
      They do progress this design all the way through to 100%.
    • 02:07:03
      But you have that contractor involvement as they're progressing the design.
    • 02:07:07
      The designer works for the owner, the contractor works for the owner.
    • 02:07:11
      It's not like this contract structure where the designer works for the contractor.
    • SPEAKER_14
    • 02:07:17
      When do you get a firm price?
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:07:19
      For which one?
    • 02:07:20
      The CM- That is similar to progressive design, Bill, where they go through that price development.
    • 02:07:27
      And so you would get it at about 60%.
    • 02:07:29
      You would have the same kind of off-ramp, where if you couldn't get within that 10%, you would do the off-ramp and just complete the design and do design-bid-build.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 02:07:38
      I did mention seeing what you've seen, talking about Franconia Bypass earlier, and I think that maybe the next board will be helpful.
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:07:44
      For design-bid-build, very simple design for pure construction.
    • 02:07:48
      This shows design-build, where you've got the preliminary engineering phase, you advertise the project at 30%,
    • 02:07:57
      If you're the design builder based on usually a best value which is qualifications and price, then that would be awarded with final price at 30% design.
    • 02:08:06
      You would then go through the design phase with a feedback from the owner and stakeholders.
    • 02:08:13
      You could start construction before you officially finish design because the first elements of work could be done prior to putting all the finishing design touches on various design packages.
    • 02:08:24
      and then you would work through two constructions.
    • 02:08:26
      It's a very fast way to build a project, but like I said, it does have its drawbacks if you have a lot of risk and uncertainty where you can't get to a good price at 30%.
    • 02:08:36
      So this is what we'll be using for the south package, because like I said, that work is pretty straightforward.
    • 02:08:40
      And we're just repeating some of the things I said, and we would shortlist three to four teams based on a best value assessment.
    • 02:08:49
      There is also the potential to do a low bid,
    • 02:08:52
      where you basically do an initial screen of the proposers and then you let whoever meets that screen bid and is basically awarded based on price.
    • 02:09:01
      You would only do that for very small contracts, not something as complex as Long Bridge.
    • 02:09:07
      So then the proposers are given 30% plans and performance specifications.
    • 02:09:13
      They would work to look at what the preliminary engineering designer would come up with and look for more creative ways, more efficient
    • 02:09:21
      are more cost-effective ways of building the work, and they would come up with alternative technical concepts, or ATCs, that then would be evaluated as part of the selection process.
    • 02:09:31
      Again, I'm talking about best value or low bid, and so we do get greater price competition for design build than for progressive design build, but you also have greater potential for construction claims, particularly if you use a low bid.
    • 02:09:47
      methodology because the contractors are incentivized to basically lowball their bid and then try to make up the difference with change orders or claims where you don't get that element going on with Progressive Design Bill as much.
    • 02:09:59
      So these are the steps for procurement for Design Bill, prepare RFQ, that's where we are right now.
    • 02:10:07
      It's also a very long process to prepare the RFP, so we're also doing that early.
    • 02:10:12
      So the next step as of June 30th would be that we would release that RFQ, we would be with industry, and we would be looking to get to the end of this process by October of next year because it does take a very long time to go through the proposal development and the evaluation of the alternative technical concepts and all of that.
    • 02:10:27
      But once it's done, it's very fast.
    • 02:10:29
      It's like shooting out of a cannon, and they could get done with this work very quickly, you know, within five to six years or something.
    • 02:10:38
      So progressive design-build is different, like I said, in that it's a two-phase contract.
    • 02:10:44
      We have that phase one where they're working on the design between 30 and 60 percent and also having the contractual constructability issues.
    • 02:10:54
      Construction pricing begins at 60 percent.
    • 02:10:58
      It does account for scope and risk involved with a complex project and outside factors that are difficult to control.
    • 02:11:04
      The contract is reported mostly based on qualifications,
    • 02:11:08
      And the price is developed by the contractor, but also by the independent cost estimator who works, the contractor is required to be open and they work side by side to look at all the assumptions that the contractor made and coming up with a price.
    • 02:11:22
      So much more transparent than the pricing that you would see in a design build contract.
    • 02:11:29
      These are the different phases of the project, you know, preliminary engineering, then you would get to 30% of the design awarding based on the qualifications.
    • 02:11:38
      doing this design review and development.
    • 02:11:41
      As you get to 60% design, you would start on these construction price negotiations.
    • 02:11:46
      You get to the construction price at this phase, basically 90%.
    • 02:11:49
      You can complete the design, start the construction, and then complete the work by 2030.
    • 02:11:57
      And this is what the different steps are for a progressive design build procurement period,
    • 02:12:02
      The different individual steps that you see for a design build, but they're much shorter.
    • 02:12:07
      It's much quicker to get one of these procurements out, which is another reason why we picked it, because we really need to get going and move on the design with the north package because that was the critical path for the project.
    • 02:12:17
      Again, we are right here for this procurement, the Gold Red Stars, and we're also working on the RFP so that we can get that issued as quickly as possible as soon as we have a short list.
    • 02:12:28
      So just to recap, it is a two-step process.
    • 02:12:33
      The statement of qualifications is evaluated for relevant project experience, key personnel, overall project approach, and quality management, looking to shortlist three to four teams.
    • 02:12:42
      Those three to four teams will then be invited to propose.
    • 02:12:46
      So the proposals will be evaluated for the broken up to phase one and phase two services for risk management, quality management, and approach to negotiate a construction price for phase two services.
    • 02:12:59
      The price for Phase 1 services and Phase 2 construction multipliers are part of the selection formula.
    • 02:13:04
      That's how you get that price element involved in the selection.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 02:13:08
      Before you move on, I want to show something really important.
    • 02:13:11
      Talk about how complex it is.
    • 02:13:12
      You have these two tracks coming in.
    • 02:13:14
      Salamander Hotel, Formley Manor, Garda Vento, Pedestrian Bridge.
    • 02:13:18
      This is one of those really complex locations that we're, rather than building next to it while the current one is in service, we're going to have to build
    • 02:13:26
      at the same location because there's not enough room to move it one way or the other.
    • 02:13:31
      That shows how complex this north package is.
    • 02:13:34
      That's a great picture.
    • 02:13:36
      Again, there's Pet Bridge.
    • 02:13:38
      We've been working with the hotel and others.
    • 02:13:40
      See the marina right there.
    • 02:13:41
      There's issues there with construction staging.
    • 02:13:45
      It's very complex, very difficult task.
    • 02:13:48
      I love that our engineers always call them challenges rather than... We can actually have it free for construction.
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:13:53
      It's going to be a tough one.
    • 02:13:54
      We've actually been working with the Wharf.
    • 02:13:56
      If any of you people are familiar with that, just down the way where they have the Anthem, which is a musical venue.
    • 02:14:01
      So they're, you know, they're going to be busy until one or two in the morning, I would imagine.
    • 02:14:05
      So we're going to have to work very closely with DC and the Wharf to figure out exactly what hours are best.
    • 02:14:10
      It's probably going to be a lot of daytime work, by the way.
    • 02:14:14
      They said it can be just as busy, you know,
    • 02:14:16
      in the evening and night as it is during the day.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 02:14:20
      In addition to intercity passenger rail, this is Amtrak's main north-south route on the east coast.
    • 02:14:25
      I'm sorry, Director Moses-Nedd.
    • SPEAKER_00
    • 02:14:27
      Just a question.
    • 02:14:28
      So will there be, you know, because as we continue this push of work from home to the pushback to the office,
    • 02:14:39
      Will there be kind of partnerships built with the federal government, with corporate entities to communicate, you know, how intense this will be?
    • 02:14:49
      And once again, I mean, I know everybody, nobody wants to risk it, but encouraging, re-encouraging that that work from home model, which works so well for traffic, among other things.
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:15:04
      I think someone else could answer that.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 02:15:08
      So I'll take it.
    • 02:15:09
      I don't think we're going to be as aggressive to say, hey government, hey companies, this is what you should do.
    • 02:15:16
      We are going to be aggressive in the community involvement and say, look,
    • 02:15:20
      A year from now, you are going to see significant closures of this road and there are other ways to get around it, but it is going to be impactful and we're going to be early, we're going to be out often letting folks in that area to include the businesses know that there's going to be disruption.
    • 02:15:35
      I don't think we're going to prescribe solutions.
    • SPEAKER_00
    • 02:15:38
      We're not prescribed solutions, certainly that's not the suggestion at all.
    • 02:15:43
      But, you know, sometimes when you talk about, you know,
    • 02:15:48
      How you communicate with the community, sometimes there's a question about who are the members of that community.
    • 02:15:57
      And we know it's larger than that DC proper community.
    • 02:16:02
      We're talking about an entire DMV.
    • 02:16:04
      So in order to get the word out, it will be agencies, companies getting it out to their employees.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 02:16:12
      Yeah, that's actually a great point because that
    • 02:16:17
      You'd be missing a whole lot of people that travel there every day.
    • SPEAKER_00
    • 02:16:20
      Oh yeah, who would be ticked off.
    • 02:16:22
      And you know, that's a key intersection.
    • 02:16:24
      I'm looking at that and I'm like, wow, that's going to be great, but going to be is a long haul in between.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 02:16:31
      You've got to do that all the time, right?
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:16:35
      They probably got some good ideas about how to... We've been doing public outreach.
    • 02:16:45
      including doing sessions at the VRE Bonnefant station.
    • 02:16:49
      So that was an excellent opportunity to get the word out for people that are commuting through that corridor, at least on the train.
    • 02:16:54
      Also working with the Wharf to get the word out.
    • 02:16:58
      And there's certain businesses that are very impacted by, are going to be very impacted by this work because there's not a lot of good ways to get there other than Main Avenue.
    • 02:17:05
      So we are working with that team to, you know, obviously there's going to be an impact, but we were definitely working with them to make it as least onerous as possible.
    • 02:17:13
      So.
    • 02:17:14
      More to come on that.
    • 02:17:15
      I'm not trying to make light of it.
    • 02:17:19
      It's just there's so much more to be done in order to come up with these plans, but we'll definitely be reporting that to you as they develop.
    • 02:17:24
      And I'm sure we'll come up on those comment resolution meetings.
    • 02:17:26
      We are looking to see that.
    • SPEAKER_05
    • 02:17:29
      I have a Steve question.
    • 02:17:32
      So if we aren't going to know a real price until even 90%
    • 02:17:39
      Because, I mean, how is that going to impact your 30% on, I know we're going to do this project, we have to, but is it going to make you just have to hold back on committing to other projects?
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 02:17:50
      To me, the 30% number is, it's not a perfect number, so it's a really good guidepost, and I think that's, stick with that, and then...
    • SPEAKER_05
    • 02:18:01
      Okay, even on this one?
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 02:18:02
      Yep, because then to me,
    • 02:18:05
      Independent cost system is going to come along and we're going to have more information because we're going to move from 30 to 60.
    • 02:18:12
      Both parties, the independent contractor and the independent cost system are, both of them, going to have more information.
    • 02:18:19
      So can we expect that it will be the exact same?
    • SPEAKER_05
    • 02:18:23
      No, but I'm just saying you might not want to commit to other projects until you know
    • 02:18:28
      That's my thought, that we don't make it look like, oh, yay, we hit 30 and we're going to get to build this in this time frame.
    • 02:18:35
      And then this one comes in.
    • 02:18:37
      This is going to be a huge moment.
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 02:18:39
      Director Drake, you're getting at what I was saying earlier about when we talked about this reserve, it has to be a holistic view.
    • SPEAKER_05
    • 02:18:47
      OK, so we would.
    • 02:18:48
      OK, the reserve.
    • SPEAKER_07
    • 02:18:50
      OK, that you're right, I'd forgotten about the reserve.
    • SPEAKER_05
    • 02:18:56
      Thank you.
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:19:01
      Okay, and then just this talks about the two phases of the project again.
    • 02:19:08
      We start the project with the progressive design builder 30%, they develop the plans up to 60% and get a feel for the various elements and risks associated with the project, then they would start doing their cost estimate in line with independent cost estimator and work so that they hopefully get within that 10% difference.
    • 02:19:28
      And again, if we don't, then we say goodbye to that contractor, finish the design, and then just bid it out, classic design bid build, which is an ideal, but better obviously than being forced into a price higher than more comfortable.
    • 02:19:41
      And then hopefully we get to phase two with this contractor where they would complete the design and then do the construction for the price that was negotiated in this part of phase one.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 02:19:54
      Excuse me, if you get to phase two and
    • 02:19:58
      They come in within 10% but you're not really crazy about them the way it's worked out?
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 02:20:04
      No.
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:20:05
      You have to take them.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 02:20:06
      By the contract?
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:20:09
      I think our attorney should answer the question.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 02:20:12
      Can you say that?
    • 02:20:13
      In other words, you engage them for phase one, they come in with phase two, they're within the 10% but you've made for other reasons decisions that you really would prefer not to work with them.
    • 02:20:24
      Are you required, do they have an automatic
    • 02:20:28
      move into phase two if they're within 10%?
    • SPEAKER_08
    • 02:20:32
      So I would say we haven't completely developed those provisions in the progressive design-build agreement yet.
    • 02:20:40
      Yeah.
    • 02:20:41
      I mean, as we're envisioning it, it's an exit ramp that can be taken for price reasons or other reasons.
    • 02:20:49
      You know, the details aren't on the page just yet.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 02:20:53
      May be an unusual scenario, but... Back to the liability.
    • 02:20:56
      ...give yourselves this much.
    • 02:20:58
      You'd get, the contractor would probably sue you, wouldn't he?
    • SPEAKER_14
    • 02:21:01
      Well, that's what I mean.
    • 02:21:02
      I mean, if you rerun the liability presentation.
    • 02:21:06
      If you reach the agreement.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 02:21:08
      Right.
    • 02:21:08
      The agreement needs to be crafted.
    • 02:21:10
      All depends on provisions in the agreement.
    • 02:21:13
      What options you retain.
    • SPEAKER_08
    • 02:21:15
      I guess what I'm saying is, as Shirlene showed, those arrows of where we are in the procurement phase, right now we're developing the RFP, we're developing
    • 02:21:25
      It's a great point that there is an exit ramp and perhaps it needs to be taken for more than one reason.
    • 02:21:41
      A reason could be something other than price.
    • SPEAKER_02
    • 02:21:45
      Good point.
    • 02:21:49
      Okay, so this is a question that comes up a lot for progressive design-build.
    • 02:21:53
      How do we control for costs?
    • 02:21:55
      We don't have that rigorous price competition like you have for design-build.
    • 02:21:59
      What can we do to build into this contract so that we do get more means of controlling price?
    • 02:22:05
      So for phase one, we have the teams not to receive fee, which limits what they can be charged for phase one services.
    • 02:22:12
      That's part of the proposal.
    • 02:22:14
      For Phase 2, we have the construction multiplier, which is the profit margin on office overhead, which is capped.
    • 02:22:20
      That's also part of the proposal and part of what they were selected upon.
    • 02:22:24
      We've talked about the ICE who rigorously evaluates the design builder's price to make sure that it's fair.
    • 02:22:30
      The contractor's estimates are required to be open book so that all of their assumptions are shared with that independent cost estimator.
    • 02:22:38
      And then we talked about how the ICE may not be more than 10% less than the contractor's price, or we take that offering.
    • 02:22:45
      And finally, one of the more important things in a means of controlling price is that self-performance by that contractor is limited to 50%.
    • 02:22:54
      The remaining elements at work, the remaining 50%, is to be bid out to subcontractors.
    • 02:23:02
      So they are actually actively competing to win that walk.
    • 02:23:05
      So the 50% really is only done by that contractor based on that, you know, most of the qualifications based, and the rest of the work is compiled by these subs.
    • 02:23:15
      Next steps is obviously for the evaluation team to finish their evaluation of the SOQs will come up with a shortlist by June 21st.
    • 02:23:28
      For the Long Bridge team that's to release the RFP by July 7th.
    • 02:23:33
      For the shortlist of PDP teams would be to submit proposals by September 15th.
    • 02:23:38
      And then for the board is to approve an award at the December 6, 2023 board meeting.
    • 02:23:45
      Any further questions?
    • SPEAKER_04
    • 02:23:47
      All right, thank you so much.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 02:23:56
      Thank you, Charlene.
    • 02:23:58
      Very complex and very... All right, that brings us to item 11, and we're almost there.
    • 02:24:07
      Mr. Latimer.
    • 02:24:08
      Tell us all about Amtrak service.
    • 02:24:15
      and Barry.
    • SPEAKER_01
    • 02:24:18
      So quick, just a reminder, we are always looking at this segment here, the segment where we contractually are working with our stakeholders to get this data.
    • 02:24:26
      So we're going to take a look at it very quickly.
    • 02:24:29
      So the way I typically, there's a lot on these slides, right?
    • 02:24:31
      So I usually go one, two, three,
    • 02:24:34
      So that's how I'm going to start these slides.
    • 02:24:36
      So, VRA's performance has improved from March, but it's still below the 90% threshold.
    • 02:24:40
      And that threshold are that the trains have to arrive at least within six minutes of that last scheduled stop.
    • 02:24:47
      So that's a little bit different than Amtrak, and we'll clarify that on that slide as well.
    • 02:24:51
      So you can see we do these year-over-year comparisons now.
    • 02:24:54
      So the blue highlighted box, so comparing April 2022 to May 23, there was a dip in on-time performance year-over-year, so a dip of 7%.
    • 02:25:05
      The change in the number of trains you see there on the right, negative 5%, is because there's one less weekday in that month in April 23 versus 22.
    • 02:25:13
      So it's really just a matter of running trains.
    • 02:25:16
      But because of the number of trains and the decrease in on-home performance, that is a 12% increase overall in delays to VRE service with an increase of 18% delay in minutes per train.
    • 02:25:28
      So a slight decrease in service year over year.
    • 02:25:32
      Why is this happening?
    • 02:25:33
      So Amtrak interference is the number one cause, and that is actually something that has root causes within that.
    • 02:25:39
      So when we look at Amtrak, we know there are terminal, there's terminal congestion at Washington Union Station where VRE has to go into Washington.
    • 02:25:46
      You know, Amtrak's overcoming some.
    • 02:25:48
      crew, employment levels, and there's also engine swaps that happen there.
    • 02:25:53
      So there's a lot going on.
    • 02:25:55
      Amtrak interference is the number one reason.
    • 02:25:56
      It is declining.
    • 02:25:58
      Slow orders.
    • 02:25:59
      So slow orders, these are not heat orders.
    • 02:26:00
      These are track conditions because there's work going on out there that requires speeds to be lowered.
    • 02:26:07
      Sometimes that happens after the work in order for ballast to settle and trains to run over it.
    • 02:26:11
      And then we also have, when trains are getting out of slot, we have increased CSX interference and VRE tripping up over itself as well.
    • 02:26:18
      So those are the top reasons for VRE's performance dipping.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 02:26:23
      Before you move on to Amtrak, I want to say I rode VRE last week.
    • 02:26:26
      I had a lovely experience.
    • 02:26:29
      I was going to ride VRE anyway, but there was a wreck on northbound 95 and all lanes were closed south of Fredericksburg.
    • 02:26:36
      And so I was able to divert over, get on VRE and make it to Potomac Yard.
    • 02:26:41
      on time on Friday, and other than getting kicked out of the quiet car for being a little too loud, it was, it should come as no surprise.
    • SPEAKER_11
    • 02:26:50
      It's my mistake for getting in the wrong car.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 02:26:53
      We had a great experience, and it was actually five of us that hung up together.
    • 02:26:57
      Kudos to VRE, and I'm going out with Rich and the team next week to have a little more detailed tour, but.
    • SPEAKER_01
    • 02:27:08
      So moving on to Amtrak.
    • 02:27:11
      So this slide is new.
    • 02:27:12
      I haven't used this slide before.
    • 02:27:13
      Hopefully this is something we're going to have stick around.
    • 02:27:15
      But again, this is the customer on-time performance.
    • 02:27:19
      The customer on-time performance is the federal standard.
    • 02:27:21
      So this was talked about in the beginning of the board meeting.
    • 02:27:24
      This is the percentage of customers getting to their station on time.
    • 02:27:28
      This is the federal standard that now the Surface Transportation Board will have an office of passenger rail that will start doing investigations on trains based on these types of data.
    • 02:27:39
      They have to achieve 80% customer on-time performance, otherwise that's where they investigate.
    • 02:27:44
      I think after two quarters of not meeting that, they can do an investigation.
    • 02:27:48
      So right now, looking at our trains, January to April, we're going to look at the Northeast Regional Roanoke as an example, this blue one.
    • 02:27:57
      That means that going from Roanoke up to Alexandria, we're going to hopefully include Washington in the next meeting, but to Alexandria that about 65% of customers are getting to any of the points between Roanoke to Alexandria on time.
    • 02:28:14
      Looking at it across the board, only our Richmond train right now has operated above 80% mark on the northbound service.
    • 02:28:23
      And then coming off the corridor, so southbound out of the northeast, the Carolinian and the North Carolina has performed well.
    • 02:28:32
      So that I just wanted to say, because I know, especially for some folks, they've asked, why are we looking on all station on time performance?
    • 02:28:38
      We also want to show what the federal standard is.
    • 02:28:41
      When we're looking at
    • 02:28:43
      All station on-time performance, we're looking at, well first I'll say the northeast regional on-time performance is at its lowest level since the peak of heat orders in August of last year, so August was when we saw the highest amount of heat orders and we had
    • 02:28:57
      at 62%, 0.9% on-time performance.
    • 02:29:02
      But the Amtrak on-time threshold here that we're looking at is the trains arriving at each station stop within 15 minutes of schedule.
    • 02:29:09
      And again, it's the trains, not the customers in this case.
    • 02:29:12
      And that tells us where trains are not performing well.
    • 02:29:14
      That's why we're looking at that instead of the customers.
    • 02:29:18
      So year over year in April 2022,
    • 02:29:22
      We were at 74.7%, we've dipped to 68.4%, so a decrease in all-station on-time performance.
    • 02:29:29
      I will say, compared to April 2022, we do have 34% more trains out there.
    • 02:29:34
      That's because we turned on the Norfolk train, we turned on another Roanoke train, and then we also brought back the Newport News Service.
    • 02:29:41
      So the increase in overall delays with that increased service also has been 102% in that when you divide it across all the trains, it's about 51% increase in average delay minutes per train.
    • 02:29:58
      Long distance trains that have to cross more than just the CSX territory coming from further south, especially like the Silver Star crosses multiple host railroads in Florida,
    • 02:30:09
      They typically do worse because of that longer distance that they travel.
    • 02:30:15
      They are also down, so compared to April 2022, there was a 3% drop, so you can see they're about performing the same, but there was an increase in number of trains there as well because they had combined one of the services, so we actually had the Silver Star and Silver Meteor had combined.
    • 02:30:33
      for quite some time in 2022.
    • 02:30:35
      Now that that service is again separated, we have more trains out there, there has been an overall increase year over year, 91% in delays and that's an average of 43% per train long distance.
    • 02:30:52
      When we look at the Amtrak trains and what's top of the list for the delays there, slow orders in Virginia are the main cause.
    • 02:31:00
      And so this is again where there's track work going on out there and I want to talk more about that.
    • 02:31:04
      in the later half of this presentation, but we can see that has peaked in March, it's coming back down, we're hoping to see that number come back down further.
    • 02:31:12
      Amtrak interference, Amtrak tripping up over itself, again this is the cause of some of the congestion in Washington, and then we of course have freight train interference when things are out of slot, and the routing is just that the train had to make switch or it didn't go over its intended route originally, and that's what the conductors are writing down as a reason for
    • 02:31:33
      to hold whatever the case may be.
    • 02:31:35
      I want to also mention that as we were coming into April, we've now had eight days of heat-related speed restrictions.
    • 02:31:43
      So when CSX calls for heat orders out there, it kicks in at 1 p.m. and expires at 7 p.m. every day.
    • 02:31:49
      And that is a very challenging time to have any on-time performance because everything has to stay.
    • 02:31:55
      So we had eight days of that in April.
    • 02:31:58
      We had heat orders yesterday.
    • 02:31:59
      We do not have them out there today.
    • 02:32:02
      We will see that increase throughout the summer.
    • 02:32:06
      So that was the general overview.
    • 02:32:08
      We've shown you slides over the past board meetings about how we're slicing and dicing this data and looking for how to attack some of these issues that we're seeing out there.
    • 02:32:19
      So Train 99 is a story that we want to tell you a little more about.
    • 02:32:22
      Train 99 is a southbound train out of Washington to Newport News on Saturdays and Sundays.
    • 02:32:28
      We watched this all year in 2022.
    • 02:32:31
      It was a poor performer.
    • 02:32:33
      We get to the end of the line with pretty poor on-time performance.
    • 02:32:36
      And we're grabbing the December one here to show you that it got into Washington.
    • 02:32:40
      This statistic says that 50% of the time Train 99 got into Washington on time, and 22% of the time in December it got into Alexandria on time.
    • 02:32:50
      What we're noticing is a pattern of when it can't get into Washington or out of Washington on time, it suffers all the way through Virginia.
    • 02:32:57
      So after a year of that, we had a strong talk with Amtrak that we're watching this particular train and we need a miracle on train 99.
    • 02:33:04
      We really need to see that we can show some effort and make an improvement.
    • 02:33:08
      And then in January, it shifted to 100%.
    • 02:33:11
      So we were blown away by that.
    • 02:33:13
      We were not expecting 100%.
    • 02:33:14
      But January was a month with lower delays overall, but that's an incredible improvement for a train that had been performing poorly for us.
    • 02:33:24
      So then it got out of Washington, it got into Alexandria, 91% of the time on time, and you can see drastic improvement across the board.
    • 02:33:32
      We saw that slip in February, we saw it slip in March, we continued talking to Amtrak about this train.
    • 02:33:37
      Because we were putting some focus on it, Amtrak actually re-instituted some meetings they've been having in New York with different managers that not just focuses on 99, but other trains.
    • 02:33:49
      And so as of April, they actually took out a couple of stops in the Northeast on train 99's route to get it to go through some of the congestion in the Northeast and get it into Washington on time more often.
    • 02:34:00
      So what we saw in April was again an uptick in the performance, so it's getting in 80% of the time on time.
    • 02:34:06
      But if it doesn't get out of Washington on time, it still suffers in Virginia.
    • 02:34:10
      So we have pointed this out to Amtrak.
    • 02:34:13
      We actually just had an executive level service performance committee meeting.
    • 02:34:17
      We were able to bring in somebody at Amtrak who is working on a continuous improvement initiative in Washington to improve the changing of locomotives.
    • 02:34:26
      We're going up there on June 27th to see it ourselves.
    • 02:34:29
      We really want to see that this train is a bellwether of improvement coming into Washington.
    • SPEAKER_10
    • 02:34:34
      Real quick, for those who are interested, train 99, if I have it right, is a Saturday-Sunday train going to Newport News leaving DC about 4.30.
    • 02:34:41
      Is that right?
    • 02:34:43
      Yes, it's a weekend train.
    • 02:34:45
      You know, leave it to DC, it's a weekend train.
    • 02:34:47
      If you remember from the slides DJ showed earlier, weekend is actually our best ridership.
    • 02:34:51
      So it's important that we're getting a lot of ridership on weekends.
    • 02:34:55
      People might not want to go to work, but they want to get out and go play and see and do.
    • 02:34:59
      So it's important that we get people back to where they need to be Sunday night.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 02:35:04
      Of course, on the downside of that, it's a weekend train.
    • 02:35:07
      And when you see the poor run time performance heading southbound,
    • 02:35:11
      VRE trains aren't getting in the way on the weekend because they're not running.
    • 02:35:15
      So it's fewer trains that are running.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 02:35:17
      And I'm just going to just look at this.
    • 02:35:19
      It's so interesting because in December and April, where it started in Union Station, it just it was a huge problem in D.C. at the station, right?
    • 02:35:30
      Because it got to the first stop in Alexandria way late.
    • 02:35:34
      I mean, so you've pinpointed there's a problem in Union Station.
    • 02:35:40
      But in the middle,
    • 02:35:42
      It was fine.
    • 02:35:45
      Isn't there a huge renovation plan for Union Station at some point in the next 10 years or so?
    • 02:35:51
      It has been for the last 20 years.
    • 02:35:54
      I thought I just heard something new.
    • 02:35:58
      We get these engines that
    • 02:36:00
      We're supposed to save time in Union Station because they didn't have to be changed?
    • 02:36:04
      So that's I think the important point.
    • SPEAKER_09
    • 02:36:06
      And I can't swear that the reason for the delay is the engine change, but it certainly contributes to it.
    • 02:36:12
      The new trainsets that come on board, 2026, 2027, that's when we'll see them.
    • 02:36:17
      They're the dual mode.
    • 02:36:18
      So north of DC, it's electric.
    • 02:36:20
      They've got the catenary and a graph.
    • 02:36:22
      They can just flip a switch, drop and go.
    • 02:36:24
      Now in Union Station they've got to take the diesel engine off, or take the electric engine off coming south, put the diesel engine on.
    • 02:36:31
      If they've got cruise shortage, if they've got engine shortage, if they've got congestion at the station, all those things make it take longer.
    • 02:36:38
      It gets worse if the train doesn't get to Union Station on time because then they've got other trains that are there already and it's a huge...
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 02:36:44
      This data though is so confusing because, you know, sometimes you could argue it was mismanagement at Union Station, just really poor
    • SPEAKER_13
    • 02:36:53
      But a couple of times it got better.
    • SPEAKER_12
    • 02:36:56
      It got into there late and it picked up a couple of times.
    • 02:37:00
      So it's a confusing message, but you pinpointed that something's going on in Union Station too often that's causing a problem.
    • SPEAKER_01
    • 02:37:09
      And it has been an effort to get this through different areas within Amtrak.
    • 02:37:14
      And I think we're starting to see that success.
    • 02:37:16
      I think that last meeting on the Evacue when we had Tony Klun join, who's in charge of the Continuous Improvement Program, he sees that Virginia is watching because
    • 02:37:23
      Well December to January is an amazing change.
    • 02:37:31
      So this is just an example to show that we are seeing some big trends going after ways to improve those large trends.
    • SPEAKER_14
    • 02:37:39
      Can I ask a question?
    • 02:37:45
      When the heat order is issued, I'm shocked that there were eight heat orders issued in April.
    • 02:37:51
      What does that mean?
    • 02:37:52
      Is it the travel speed drops from whatever to whatever?
    • SPEAKER_01
    • 02:37:56
      Yes.
    • 02:37:56
      So it can be because of the temperature in the day or it can be a temperature swing, which is why they start showing up in the spring as well.
    • 02:38:03
      And then it drops.
    • 02:38:05
      I think that there's a floor, I think, of 40 miles an hour at CSX.
    • 02:38:09
      It differs by railroad, but I think it can drop speeds by as much as 20 miles per hour.
    • 02:38:14
      So everything just starts crawling.
    • 02:38:18
      Their schedules are designed for higher speeds.
    • 02:38:21
      That ain't gonna get better.
    • 02:38:27
      So, ongoing challenges, so we know the slow orders, not heat orders, slow orders because the construction are out there, crew and engine swap issues, and then heat orders are a growing problem as we get into the summer.
    • 02:38:38
      But we also know, just an example of what Charlene was talking about,
    • 02:38:42
      Track and platform closures and speed restrictions that are coming from large scale construction projects across the board are also going to be a challenge.
    • 02:38:49
      So we have to be proactive in order to mitigate some of these issues.
    • 02:38:52
      So I'm going to talk a little bit about that, how we're going to coordinate on construction and maintenance schedules.
    • 02:38:57
      So this visual here, this is the TRV network.
    • 02:39:01
      This is the DC down to Richmond track chart.
    • 02:39:04
      and I know it's a little fuzzy it's really just designed to be a graphic to show you that our engineering team at VPRA is building a schedule and all these little red lines are where these projects are going to be in construction and this is the timeline you can cross through and see that multiple projects are going to be under construction at the same time that's in addition to existing track work that has to be done
    • 02:39:26
      and we found out through CSX that there's kind of like three levels of looking at that.
    • 02:39:30
      There's the system plan that they publish every year.
    • 02:39:32
      We're going to have to go out there.
    • 02:39:33
      We know this year we're planning to spend money on maintenance.
    • 02:39:36
      And then there's the, we run Sperry cars and we do our own inspections and we're going to have to do things out there last minute.
    • 02:39:40
      That's always going to happen.
    • 02:39:41
      We want to run a safe railroad.
    • 02:39:43
      And then we found out there's also this regional level of planning for certain improvements that we have to get a better handle on.
    • 02:39:51
      So all of those are going to be happening at the same time that these construction projects are happening.
    • 02:39:56
      So it's going to be in all of our interests to coordinate that work.
    • 02:39:59
      So as VPRA engineering is building this, the service team is going to be coordinating with them.
    • 02:40:04
      And we are also building a spreadsheet and track chart that will be inventorying all of the track work that has to happen in order to maintain the railroad.
    • 02:40:13
      And then we're going to have to cross reference that.
    • 02:40:16
      And the reason we're going to have to do that is because first we need to know how long is that work going to last.
    • 02:40:20
      The expected impact to service and what other projects are happening because we really don't want to have to cancel anything.
    • 02:40:27
      We don't want to get to a point where we're canceling services.
    • 02:40:30
      We don't want to do schedule changes.
    • 02:40:32
      It's an option, but it's not our first option, obviously, because that takes so much coordination and a lot of lead time to get it in place and notify customers.
    • 02:40:40
      Rescheduling of work activities is going to be challenging because that could have cost impacts to contractors.
    • 02:40:45
      So we really need to mitigate, do our best to make sure we're not putting ourselves into a situation where we are hurting the customers, hurting our services.
    • 02:40:52
      We do want to be able to communicate it to passengers.
    • 02:40:55
      And I'll just tell you, the other areas of the country deal with this every day, too, maybe not on a scale.
    • 02:41:00
      This is something new, especially in Virginia.
    • 02:41:03
      But we do know that in the Northern New England Passenger Rail Authority, when they have track work going on, they've often done things like 20 percent off tickets during track work, thanks to patients.
    • 02:41:12
      You know, there's ways of marketing to customers.
    • 02:41:16
      This is just an example to say that VRE has the Quantico Station project going on out there, and this was an example of what we want to see more of.
    • 02:41:25
      So they sent an email out that showed significant advance notice, so it's 60 days.
    • 02:41:29
      Sorry, don't knock this over.
    • 02:41:30
      It had formal notifications sent to all the parties that were involved with specific location, dates, times of that work, the estimated impact, proactive mitigation measures,
    • 02:41:41
      And really this is just a formula, this is a good practice that we're going to try and build more lines of communication to have this happen more often.
    • 02:41:50
      So this visual, you're not going to have to understand, I know it's late in the day, but what I want you to take away from here is we're building new lines of communication.
    • 02:41:57
      And so we have CSX, Amtrak, and VRE, and there's going to be a point person in each one that needs to come to us, the Service Performance Committee, with the information about what work they're going to be doing, whether it's a capital project or a maintenance project.
    • 02:42:10
      VPRA in the purple box is going to be coordinating in engineering and service planning so that we can do an impact analysis.
    • 02:42:18
      We have all this work going on, what's happened to service, and then we're going to communicate that back so that we can put in mitigation measures.
    • 02:42:24
      And then there's a backflip, just kind of a circle.
    • 02:42:27
      So that was really the main point of the presentation beyond the performance that's going on there today.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 02:42:33
      Any questions for Mr. Lautimer?
    • SPEAKER_01
    • 02:42:39
      And with graphics like that, it's a lot.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 02:42:44
      Thank you, Jeremy.
    • 02:42:46
      I know as a user of the system, I appreciate the work you're doing to keep things on time.
    • SPEAKER_01
    • 02:42:50
      Thanks.
    • SPEAKER_06
    • 02:42:52
      All right, so that brings us to the end of our agenda.
    • 02:42:54
      Do we have any other comments or items to bring to the board today?
    • 02:43:06
      Next meeting is August 30th.
    • 02:43:08
      Have a good summer.
    • 02:43:10
      Ride the train, yes.